Race 14B

toni-deutsch-58-regatta

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

30.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Chandler Salisbury 12.5% 11.9% 12.7% 11.8% 10.7% 10.0% 9.0% 7.5% 5.8% 3.7% 3.4% 0.8% 0.2%
Claire Dennis 16.6% 14.7% 13.9% 13.2% 11.5% 9.0% 6.9% 5.9% 4.4% 2.1% 1.2% 0.6% 0.0%
Kate Levinson 3.9% 4.6% 5.2% 7.4% 6.3% 8.1% 8.6% 8.9% 10.0% 12.1% 12.0% 10.0% 2.9%
Caitlin Watson 6.2% 6.5% 6.6% 6.4% 8.9% 9.4% 9.1% 8.6% 10.5% 9.9% 10.1% 6.1% 1.7%
Alexandra Romagnoli 5.9% 5.2% 5.3% 7.1% 7.2% 7.0% 7.3% 8.9% 10.8% 10.9% 10.6% 11.1% 2.7%
Devon Rohde 5.9% 6.1% 5.8% 6.7% 7.5% 6.7% 7.7% 11.7% 9.5% 11.4% 9.2% 9.5% 2.3%
Megan Yeigh 11.0% 10.4% 9.3% 11.2% 8.1% 11.0% 9.5% 8.4% 8.4% 6.8% 3.3% 2.0% 0.6%
Hanna Vincent 15.2% 14.5% 15.3% 11.7% 9.6% 9.9% 8.5% 6.8% 3.5% 2.3% 1.9% 0.8% 0.0%
Kaitlyn Norton 3.6% 4.0% 4.3% 3.6% 4.7% 5.1% 7.4% 7.1% 10.2% 11.8% 13.3% 18.8% 6.1%
Sara Swanson 6.5% 6.4% 6.4% 6.8% 7.8% 8.9% 7.6% 9.7% 9.5% 10.7% 10.3% 6.2% 3.2%
Johanna Kincaid 10.0% 11.4% 11.7% 9.0% 11.4% 10.7% 9.7% 8.3% 7.2% 4.7% 3.4% 2.1% 0.4%
Heidi Hood 2.0% 3.9% 3.1% 4.3% 5.2% 3.4% 7.5% 6.6% 7.7% 10.9% 15.7% 20.8% 8.9%
Katelyn Richerts 0.7% 0.4% 0.4% 0.8% 1.1% 0.8% 1.2% 1.6% 2.5% 2.7% 5.6% 11.2% 71.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.