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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University1.47+1.23vs Predicted
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2Virginia Tech0.73+0.46vs Predicted
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3University of Maryland-0.69+1.58vs Predicted
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4American University-0.86+0.80vs Predicted
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5William and Mary-0.36-0.89vs Predicted
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6Catholic University of America-1.27-0.53vs Predicted
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7Christopher Newport University-0.52-2.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.23Hampton University1.4735.2%1st Place
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2.46Virginia Tech0.7331.4%1st Place
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4.58University of Maryland-0.696.8%1st Place
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4.8American University-0.865.5%1st Place
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4.11William and Mary-0.369.1%1st Place
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5.47Catholic University of America-1.273.9%1st Place
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4.35Christopher Newport University-0.528.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valerio Palamara | 35.2% | 30.1% | 19.1% | 10.3% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Aidan Young | 31.4% | 26.1% | 20.0% | 13.2% | 6.5% | 2.6% | 0.4% |
| Anthony Thonnard | 6.8% | 9.1% | 12.8% | 15.2% | 19.7% | 20.1% | 16.4% |
| Hannah Arey | 5.5% | 7.2% | 10.8% | 15.3% | 20.0% | 21.2% | 19.9% |
| Eric Johnson | 9.1% | 12.8% | 16.4% | 17.9% | 17.0% | 17.0% | 9.8% |
| Benedict Gorman | 3.9% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 10.8% | 13.9% | 20.0% | 40.1% |
| Noah Hubbard | 8.2% | 10.3% | 14.1% | 17.2% | 19.4% | 17.6% | 13.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.