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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.90+2.58vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.31+2.42vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.90+0.58vs Predicted
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4Bates College1.65+1.29vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College3.21-1.70vs Predicted
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6Brandeis University0.59+0.40vs Predicted
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7Boston University3.70-4.41vs Predicted
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8Harvard University3.79-5.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.58Tufts University2.900.1%1st Place
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4.42Tufts University2.310.1%1st Place
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3.58Tufts University2.900.1%1st Place
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5.29Bates College1.650.0%1st Place
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3.3Dartmouth College3.210.2%1st Place
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6.4Brandeis University0.590.0%1st Place
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2.59Boston University3.700.3%1st Place
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2.41Harvard University3.790.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Moody | 13.7% | 15.8% | 17.0% | 21.4% | 19.4% | 9.9% | 2.8% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Barclift | 6.2% | 8.1% | 13.5% | 16.7% | 27.4% | 21.3% | 6.8% | 0.0% |
| James Moody | 13.7% | 15.8% | 17.0% | 21.4% | 19.4% | 9.9% | 2.8% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Scribner | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 9.6% | 16.7% | 40.1% | 19.7% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Williams | 15.9% | 16.6% | 22.1% | 20.5% | 16.8% | 7.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Hardy | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 16.1% | 70.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Astwood | 26.9% | 26.6% | 21.5% | 14.0% | 7.9% | 2.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 32.4% | 26.7% | 18.6% | 14.3% | 5.9% | 2.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.