← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Hampton University1.47+1.23vs Predicted
-
2Virginia Tech0.73+0.43vs Predicted
-
3University of Maryland-0.69+1.62vs Predicted
-
4William and Mary-0.36+0.10vs Predicted
-
5American University-0.86-0.11vs Predicted
-
6Christopher Newport University-0.52-1.66vs Predicted
-
7Catholic University of America-1.27-1.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.23Hampton University1.4736.3%1st Place
-
2.43Virginia Tech0.7331.1%1st Place
-
4.62University of Maryland-0.695.9%1st Place
-
4.1William and Mary-0.369.7%1st Place
-
4.89American University-0.865.5%1st Place
-
4.34Christopher Newport University-0.528.0%1st Place
-
5.4Catholic University of America-1.273.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Valerio Palamara | 36.3% | 28.4% | 19.1% | 9.8% | 4.9% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
Aidan Young | 31.1% | 27.6% | 20.8% | 12.2% | 5.3% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
Anthony Thonnard | 5.9% | 9.5% | 13.1% | 15.6% | 18.5% | 19.5% | 17.9% |
Eric Johnson | 9.7% | 11.8% | 15.7% | 19.4% | 18.1% | 16.3% | 9.1% |
Hannah Arey | 5.5% | 6.8% | 10.8% | 14.1% | 18.9% | 21.1% | 22.8% |
Noah Hubbard | 8.0% | 10.6% | 13.4% | 18.4% | 19.0% | 18.1% | 12.6% |
Benedict Gorman | 3.6% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 10.4% | 15.2% | 21.2% | 37.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.