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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University1.47+1.20vs Predicted
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2University of Maryland-0.69+2.55vs Predicted
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3Virginia Tech0.73-0.48vs Predicted
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4William and Mary-0.36+0.08vs Predicted
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5American University-0.86-0.13vs Predicted
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6Catholic University of America-1.27-0.58vs Predicted
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7Christopher Newport University-0.52-2.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.2Hampton University1.4737.2%1st Place
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4.55University of Maryland-0.697.3%1st Place
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2.52Virginia Tech0.7327.6%1st Place
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4.08William and Mary-0.369.3%1st Place
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4.87American University-0.865.9%1st Place
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5.42Catholic University of America-1.274.2%1st Place
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4.36Christopher Newport University-0.528.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valerio Palamara | 37.2% | 28.0% | 19.3% | 10.3% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Anthony Thonnard | 7.3% | 9.3% | 11.9% | 17.0% | 18.0% | 20.1% | 16.4% |
| Aidan Young | 27.6% | 28.6% | 21.6% | 12.2% | 6.9% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| Eric Johnson | 9.3% | 12.2% | 17.2% | 18.5% | 18.2% | 14.8% | 9.8% |
| Hannah Arey | 5.9% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 13.8% | 19.7% | 21.6% | 21.9% |
| Benedict Gorman | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 10.4% | 15.5% | 20.3% | 38.1% |
| Noah Hubbard | 8.5% | 9.7% | 13.7% | 17.8% | 18.2% | 19.5% | 12.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.