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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University3.70+1.52vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.90+1.62vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.90+0.62vs Predicted
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4Harvard University3.79-1.56vs Predicted
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5Bates College1.65+0.37vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.21-2.75vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.31-2.50vs Predicted
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8Brandeis University0.59-1.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.52Boston University3.700.3%1st Place
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3.62Tufts University2.900.1%1st Place
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3.62Tufts University2.900.1%1st Place
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2.44Harvard University3.790.3%1st Place
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5.37Bates College1.650.0%1st Place
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3.25Dartmouth College3.210.2%1st Place
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4.5Tufts University2.310.1%1st Place
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6.3Brandeis University0.590.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Astwood | 29.3% | 27.9% | 18.5% | 13.6% | 7.7% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| James Moody | 11.6% | 14.7% | 19.5% | 22.6% | 19.8% | 9.3% | 2.5% | 0.0% |
| James Moody | 11.6% | 14.7% | 19.5% | 22.6% | 19.8% | 9.3% | 2.5% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 32.2% | 25.3% | 19.9% | 13.7% | 7.0% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Scribner | 3.1% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 10.8% | 17.6% | 39.0% | 21.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Williams | 15.8% | 19.3% | 21.9% | 20.4% | 14.4% | 6.5% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Barclift | 6.7% | 7.7% | 12.2% | 14.7% | 26.6% | 25.0% | 7.1% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Hardy | 1.3% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 6.9% | 16.3% | 66.7% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.