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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.90+2.58vs Predicted
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2Boston University3.70+0.58vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.31+1.46vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.90-0.42vs Predicted
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5Harvard University3.79-2.50vs Predicted
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6Bates College1.65-0.65vs Predicted
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7Brandeis University0.59-0.60vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College3.21-4.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.58Tufts University2.900.1%1st Place
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2.58Boston University3.700.3%1st Place
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4.46Tufts University2.310.1%1st Place
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3.58Tufts University2.900.1%1st Place
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2.5Harvard University3.790.3%1st Place
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5.35Bates College1.650.0%1st Place
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6.4Brandeis University0.590.0%1st Place
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3.12Dartmouth College3.210.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Moody | 13.9% | 15.4% | 17.2% | 20.4% | 20.7% | 9.7% | 2.7% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Astwood | 26.7% | 28.3% | 19.5% | 15.0% | 7.2% | 2.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Barclift | 7.4% | 7.1% | 12.0% | 16.6% | 25.9% | 24.0% | 7.0% | 0.0% |
| James Moody | 13.9% | 15.4% | 17.2% | 20.4% | 20.7% | 9.7% | 2.7% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 28.4% | 26.8% | 21.2% | 15.1% | 6.8% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Scribner | 2.9% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 9.0% | 19.2% | 38.8% | 20.2% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Hardy | 1.2% | 0.8% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 7.1% | 17.5% | 68.3% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Williams | 19.5% | 17.8% | 21.7% | 21.1% | 13.1% | 5.7% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.