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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University1.47+1.20vs Predicted
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2William and Mary-0.36+2.09vs Predicted
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3Virginia Tech0.73-0.48vs Predicted
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4University of Maryland-0.69+0.56vs Predicted
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5American University-0.86-0.22vs Predicted
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6Christopher Newport University-0.52-1.61vs Predicted
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7Catholic University of America-1.27-1.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.2Hampton University1.4737.9%1st Place
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4.09William and Mary-0.369.3%1st Place
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2.52Virginia Tech0.7329.8%1st Place
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4.56University of Maryland-0.696.1%1st Place
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4.78American University-0.866.0%1st Place
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4.39Christopher Newport University-0.527.4%1st Place
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5.47Catholic University of America-1.273.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valerio Palamara | 37.9% | 28.3% | 17.9% | 9.6% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Eric Johnson | 9.3% | 11.5% | 16.5% | 18.6% | 20.5% | 15.2% | 8.3% |
| Aidan Young | 29.8% | 26.8% | 20.1% | 13.1% | 6.3% | 3.4% | 0.5% |
| Anthony Thonnard | 6.1% | 9.7% | 12.6% | 16.8% | 19.1% | 19.8% | 15.9% |
| Hannah Arey | 6.0% | 7.9% | 11.3% | 14.7% | 17.4% | 22.2% | 20.4% |
| Noah Hubbard | 7.4% | 9.8% | 14.6% | 17.5% | 19.3% | 17.8% | 13.5% |
| Benedict Gorman | 3.5% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 9.7% | 13.0% | 20.0% | 41.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.