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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University1.47+1.16vs Predicted
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2Virginia Tech0.73+0.50vs Predicted
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3William and Mary-0.36+1.08vs Predicted
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4University of Maryland-0.69+0.56vs Predicted
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5American University-0.86-0.12vs Predicted
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6Catholic University of America-1.27-0.57vs Predicted
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7Christopher Newport University-0.52-2.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.16Hampton University1.4738.8%1st Place
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2.5Virginia Tech0.7328.5%1st Place
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4.08William and Mary-0.3610.0%1st Place
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4.56University of Maryland-0.697.4%1st Place
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4.88American University-0.864.6%1st Place
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5.43Catholic University of America-1.274.1%1st Place
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4.39Christopher Newport University-0.526.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valerio Palamara | 38.8% | 27.3% | 18.9% | 10.1% | 3.9% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Aidan Young | 28.5% | 27.9% | 21.1% | 13.2% | 6.5% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Eric Johnson | 10.0% | 11.9% | 16.2% | 18.4% | 18.6% | 15.8% | 9.2% |
| Anthony Thonnard | 7.4% | 9.2% | 11.7% | 16.7% | 18.8% | 20.1% | 16.3% |
| Hannah Arey | 4.6% | 8.0% | 11.4% | 14.1% | 17.1% | 22.4% | 22.4% |
| Benedict Gorman | 4.1% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 10.4% | 12.8% | 20.4% | 39.7% |
| Noah Hubbard | 6.7% | 10.4% | 13.7% | 17.1% | 22.4% | 18.2% | 11.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.