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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.79+1.43vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.90+1.63vs Predicted
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3Bates College1.65+2.34vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.31+0.50vs Predicted
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5Boston University3.70-2.40vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.90-2.37vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College3.21-3.80vs Predicted
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8Brandeis University0.59-1.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.43Harvard University3.790.3%1st Place
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3.63Tufts University2.900.1%1st Place
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5.34Bates College1.650.0%1st Place
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4.5Tufts University2.310.1%1st Place
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2.6Boston University3.700.3%1st Place
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3.63Tufts University2.900.1%1st Place
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3.2Dartmouth College3.210.2%1st Place
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6.3Brandeis University0.590.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Mollerus | 32.0% | 25.8% | 20.6% | 13.2% | 6.1% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| James Moody | 12.1% | 15.2% | 18.1% | 22.5% | 18.7% | 11.2% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Scribner | 3.8% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 17.7% | 37.4% | 22.9% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Barclift | 6.5% | 7.3% | 13.1% | 15.4% | 25.6% | 24.2% | 7.9% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Astwood | 26.3% | 27.9% | 18.0% | 17.7% | 7.9% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| James Moody | 12.1% | 15.2% | 18.1% | 22.5% | 18.7% | 11.2% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Williams | 18.2% | 17.4% | 21.3% | 20.1% | 16.7% | 5.3% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Hardy | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 7.3% | 18.2% | 65.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.