Race 5A

tufts-central-series-1

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
Ryan Astwood 28.7% 26.8% 20.8% 12.5% 8.4% 2.5% 0.3% 0.0%
James Moody 11.0% 14.6% 17.6% 23.9% 20.2% 9.9% 2.8% 0.0%
James Moody 11.0% 14.6% 17.6% 23.9% 20.2% 9.9% 2.8% 0.0%
Andrew Mollerus 31.2% 26.4% 20.8% 13.0% 6.9% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0%
Jacob Hardy 0.4% 1.3% 2.5% 2.9% 6.9% 18.1% 67.9% 0.0%
Cameron Barclift 5.7% 7.9% 12.5% 14.4% 27.9% 24.3% 7.3% 0.0%
Samuel Scribner 3.5% 4.2% 4.9% 11.4% 17.0% 38.4% 20.6% 0.0%
Sarah Williams 19.5% 18.8% 20.9% 21.9% 12.7% 5.3% 0.9% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.