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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University1.47+1.20vs Predicted
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2Virginia Tech0.73+0.51vs Predicted
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3University of Maryland-0.69+1.57vs Predicted
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4Catholic University of America-1.27+1.44vs Predicted
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5William and Mary-0.36-0.92vs Predicted
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6American University-0.86-1.21vs Predicted
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7Christopher Newport University-0.52-2.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.2Hampton University1.4737.5%1st Place
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2.51Virginia Tech0.7328.2%1st Place
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4.57University of Maryland-0.697.2%1st Place
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5.44Catholic University of America-1.273.2%1st Place
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4.08William and Mary-0.369.7%1st Place
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4.79American University-0.866.4%1st Place
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4.41Christopher Newport University-0.527.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valerio Palamara | 37.5% | 28.9% | 17.2% | 10.2% | 4.3% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Aidan Young | 28.2% | 26.9% | 22.8% | 13.2% | 6.0% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Anthony Thonnard | 7.2% | 8.9% | 11.9% | 16.1% | 19.4% | 19.7% | 16.7% |
| Benedict Gorman | 3.2% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 14.4% | 19.9% | 39.4% |
| Eric Johnson | 9.7% | 11.5% | 17.2% | 19.0% | 17.3% | 16.3% | 9.0% |
| Hannah Arey | 6.4% | 7.3% | 10.2% | 15.3% | 19.1% | 21.1% | 20.6% |
| Noah Hubbard | 7.8% | 10.5% | 13.4% | 16.3% | 19.4% | 19.1% | 13.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.