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📊 Prediction Accuracy
70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University1.60+3.51vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston1.81+1.89vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.14+0.62vs Predicted
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4Harvard University1.62+0.42vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island1.05+0.72vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.68+0.44vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College0.73-0.80vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.53-3.45vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont-0.02-1.25vs Predicted
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10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.13-2.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.51Roger Williams University1.6012.7%1st Place
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3.89College of Charleston1.8118.9%1st Place
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3.62Brown University2.1420.2%1st Place
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4.42Harvard University1.6211.9%1st Place
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5.72University of Rhode Island1.056.6%1st Place
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6.44Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.685.3%1st Place
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6.2Bowdoin College0.735.2%1st Place
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4.55Tufts University1.5313.3%1st Place
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7.75University of Vermont-0.023.0%1st Place
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7.88U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.132.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Jack Roman | 12.7% | 13.4% | 12.8% | 12.8% | 13.1% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 7.3% | 4.2% | 1.7% |
Bella Shakespeare | 18.9% | 15.1% | 14.0% | 13.9% | 12.0% | 10.9% | 7.6% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 0.6% |
Tyler Lamm | 20.2% | 18.1% | 15.5% | 13.3% | 11.3% | 9.5% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
Kate Danielson | 11.9% | 13.0% | 14.9% | 14.2% | 13.2% | 11.6% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 1.4% |
Olin Guck | 6.6% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 12.4% | 13.0% | 13.8% | 11.5% | 5.3% |
Sophia Woodbury | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 13.1% | 15.0% | 16.2% | 11.8% |
Shea McGrath | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 12.8% | 15.3% | 14.3% | 8.9% |
Devon Owen | 13.3% | 12.6% | 13.2% | 11.2% | 12.6% | 11.9% | 11.4% | 8.2% | 4.3% | 1.4% |
William Denker | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 11.8% | 19.5% | 34.5% |
Robert Finora | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 13.1% | 21.9% | 34.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.