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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University1.47+1.19vs Predicted
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2Virginia Tech0.73+0.48vs Predicted
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3American University-0.86+1.89vs Predicted
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4William and Mary-0.36+0.08vs Predicted
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5University of Maryland-0.69-0.43vs Predicted
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6Christopher Newport University-0.52-1.71vs Predicted
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7Catholic University of America-1.27-1.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.19Hampton University1.4737.5%1st Place
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2.48Virginia Tech0.7328.5%1st Place
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4.89American University-0.866.0%1st Place
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4.08William and Mary-0.369.7%1st Place
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4.57University of Maryland-0.696.8%1st Place
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4.29Christopher Newport University-0.528.2%1st Place
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5.51Catholic University of America-1.273.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valerio Palamara | 37.5% | 28.5% | 18.9% | 9.3% | 4.1% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Young | 28.5% | 28.5% | 21.4% | 12.9% | 5.9% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Hannah Arey | 6.0% | 7.1% | 11.0% | 13.0% | 17.3% | 21.8% | 23.8% |
| Eric Johnson | 9.7% | 12.3% | 16.2% | 18.2% | 19.0% | 14.9% | 9.7% |
| Anthony Thonnard | 6.8% | 7.9% | 11.5% | 19.3% | 19.8% | 18.9% | 15.8% |
| Noah Hubbard | 8.2% | 11.0% | 13.7% | 17.9% | 19.3% | 19.3% | 10.5% |
| Benedict Gorman | 3.1% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 14.5% | 21.3% | 39.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.