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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.90+2.59vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.79+0.47vs Predicted
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3Boston University3.70-0.45vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College3.21-0.75vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.31-0.48vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.90-2.41vs Predicted
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7Brandeis University0.59-0.61vs Predicted
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8Bates College1.65-2.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.59Tufts University2.900.1%1st Place
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2.47Harvard University3.790.3%1st Place
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2.55Boston University3.700.3%1st Place
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3.25Dartmouth College3.210.2%1st Place
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4.52Tufts University2.310.1%1st Place
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3.59Tufts University2.900.1%1st Place
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6.39Brandeis University0.590.0%1st Place
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5.23Bates College1.650.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Moody | 14.2% | 15.2% | 18.0% | 19.9% | 18.1% | 12.1% | 2.5% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 29.7% | 26.3% | 22.3% | 13.0% | 6.5% | 2.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Astwood | 28.2% | 25.9% | 20.9% | 14.7% | 8.4% | 1.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Williams | 17.2% | 18.3% | 19.6% | 20.7% | 16.6% | 6.3% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Barclift | 6.1% | 7.7% | 10.5% | 17.4% | 28.8% | 20.9% | 8.6% | 0.0% |
| James Moody | 14.2% | 15.2% | 18.0% | 19.9% | 18.1% | 12.1% | 2.5% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Hardy | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 5.9% | 16.6% | 69.3% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Scribner | 3.4% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 10.9% | 15.7% | 40.3% | 18.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.