← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Virginia Tech0.62+1.63vs Predicted
-
2William and Mary-0.36+2.07vs Predicted
-
3University of Maryland-0.69+1.55vs Predicted
-
4Hampton University1.47-1.89vs Predicted
-
5Christopher Newport University-0.52-0.64vs Predicted
-
6American University-0.86-1.19vs Predicted
-
7Catholic University of America-1.27-1.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.63Virginia Tech0.6226.5%1st Place
-
4.07William and Mary-0.369.6%1st Place
-
4.55University of Maryland-0.696.5%1st Place
-
2.11Hampton University1.4739.4%1st Place
-
4.36Christopher Newport University-0.527.8%1st Place
-
4.81American University-0.866.9%1st Place
-
5.47Catholic University of America-1.273.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Manternach | 26.5% | 25.9% | 21.9% | 14.2% | 7.1% | 3.6% | 0.8% |
| Eric Johnson | 9.6% | 12.5% | 14.8% | 19.4% | 19.7% | 16.1% | 8.0% |
| Anthony Thonnard | 6.5% | 8.2% | 14.0% | 17.6% | 18.2% | 20.2% | 15.4% |
| Valerio Palamara | 39.4% | 30.0% | 17.6% | 7.8% | 4.0% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Noah Hubbard | 7.8% | 10.5% | 14.2% | 16.9% | 19.4% | 18.4% | 12.8% |
| Hannah Arey | 6.9% | 7.1% | 10.4% | 14.3% | 17.3% | 22.7% | 21.1% |
| Benedict Gorman | 3.5% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 14.2% | 18.1% | 41.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.