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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.90+2.62vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.79+0.44vs Predicted
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3Boston University3.70-0.44vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.90-0.38vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.31-0.48vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.21-2.75vs Predicted
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7Brandeis University0.59-0.60vs Predicted
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8Bates College1.65-2.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.62Tufts University2.900.1%1st Place
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2.44Harvard University3.790.3%1st Place
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2.56Boston University3.700.3%1st Place
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3.62Tufts University2.900.1%1st Place
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4.52Tufts University2.310.1%1st Place
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3.25Dartmouth College3.210.2%1st Place
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6.4Brandeis University0.590.0%1st Place
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5.22Bates College1.650.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Moody | 13.6% | 15.4% | 17.0% | 20.2% | 19.6% | 11.5% | 2.7% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 30.8% | 26.8% | 20.3% | 13.6% | 6.8% | 1.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Astwood | 29.9% | 23.7% | 19.9% | 16.2% | 7.9% | 2.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| James Moody | 13.6% | 15.4% | 17.0% | 20.2% | 19.6% | 11.5% | 2.7% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Barclift | 6.0% | 7.2% | 11.8% | 17.0% | 27.4% | 23.0% | 7.6% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Williams | 15.2% | 20.3% | 21.4% | 19.6% | 16.0% | 6.0% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Hardy | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 6.2% | 16.0% | 69.9% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Scribner | 3.5% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 10.3% | 16.1% | 39.6% | 18.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.