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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.90+2.62vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.90+1.62vs Predicted
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3Bates College1.65+2.31vs Predicted
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4Harvard University3.79-1.55vs Predicted
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5Boston University3.70-2.42vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.31-1.45vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College3.21-3.80vs Predicted
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8Brandeis University0.59-1.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.62Tufts University2.900.1%1st Place
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3.62Tufts University2.900.1%1st Place
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5.31Bates College1.650.0%1st Place
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2.45Harvard University3.790.3%1st Place
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2.58Boston University3.700.3%1st Place
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4.55Tufts University2.310.1%1st Place
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3.2Dartmouth College3.210.2%1st Place
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6.29Brandeis University0.590.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Moody | 13.4% | 15.1% | 17.5% | 21.5% | 18.0% | 11.3% | 3.2% | 0.0% |
| James Moody | 13.4% | 15.1% | 17.5% | 21.5% | 18.0% | 11.3% | 3.2% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Scribner | 3.4% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 10.5% | 18.3% | 38.7% | 19.5% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 28.9% | 28.7% | 21.8% | 11.3% | 7.5% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Astwood | 30.2% | 22.4% | 20.3% | 16.3% | 8.2% | 2.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Barclift | 5.7% | 8.6% | 10.9% | 15.8% | 27.6% | 22.1% | 9.3% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Williams | 16.5% | 20.5% | 21.0% | 19.8% | 14.2% | 6.8% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Hardy | 1.9% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 16.9% | 66.6% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.