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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech0.62+1.68vs Predicted
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2University of Maryland-0.69+2.53vs Predicted
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3Hampton University1.47-0.85vs Predicted
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4William and Mary-0.36+0.07vs Predicted
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5American University-0.86-0.18vs Predicted
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6Christopher Newport University-0.52-1.65vs Predicted
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7Catholic University of America-1.27-1.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.68Virginia Tech0.6226.5%1st Place
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4.53University of Maryland-0.697.5%1st Place
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2.15Hampton University1.4740.0%1st Place
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4.07William and Mary-0.369.2%1st Place
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4.82American University-0.865.1%1st Place
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4.35Christopher Newport University-0.527.4%1st Place
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5.4Catholic University of America-1.274.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Luke Manternach | 26.5% | 25.6% | 20.9% | 14.0% | 7.8% | 4.5% | 0.8% |
Anthony Thonnard | 7.5% | 9.4% | 12.2% | 16.1% | 19.6% | 19.1% | 16.2% |
Valerio Palamara | 40.0% | 27.7% | 16.7% | 10.3% | 3.9% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
Eric Johnson | 9.2% | 12.7% | 16.4% | 18.8% | 17.9% | 16.1% | 8.9% |
Hannah Arey | 5.1% | 8.9% | 11.1% | 13.6% | 18.1% | 21.1% | 22.1% |
Noah Hubbard | 7.4% | 10.7% | 15.1% | 16.8% | 18.9% | 18.6% | 12.4% |
Benedict Gorman | 4.2% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 10.5% | 13.9% | 19.4% | 39.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.