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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Maryland-0.69+3.60vs Predicted
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2Virginia Tech0.62+0.58vs Predicted
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3Hampton University1.47-0.82vs Predicted
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4William and Mary-0.36+0.08vs Predicted
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5Christopher Newport University-0.52-0.72vs Predicted
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6American University-0.86-1.20vs Predicted
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7Catholic University of America-1.27-1.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.6University of Maryland-0.696.3%1st Place
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2.58Virginia Tech0.6227.4%1st Place
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2.18Hampton University1.4737.5%1st Place
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4.08William and Mary-0.3610.4%1st Place
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4.28Christopher Newport University-0.528.8%1st Place
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4.8American University-0.866.0%1st Place
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5.48Catholic University of America-1.273.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Thonnard | 6.3% | 8.8% | 12.9% | 16.4% | 18.6% | 20.2% | 16.9% |
| Luke Manternach | 27.4% | 27.6% | 20.2% | 13.5% | 7.8% | 2.7% | 0.9% |
| Valerio Palamara | 37.5% | 29.1% | 18.9% | 8.8% | 4.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Eric Johnson | 10.4% | 12.2% | 14.8% | 18.4% | 18.4% | 16.9% | 8.9% |
| Noah Hubbard | 8.8% | 9.8% | 14.6% | 18.4% | 19.3% | 17.5% | 11.3% |
| Hannah Arey | 6.0% | 7.4% | 11.0% | 14.8% | 18.3% | 21.6% | 20.8% |
| Benedict Gorman | 3.5% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 13.4% | 19.9% | 40.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.