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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Maryland-0.69+3.49vs Predicted
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2Virginia Tech0.62+0.63vs Predicted
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3Hampton University1.47-0.83vs Predicted
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4William and Mary-0.36+0.13vs Predicted
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5Christopher Newport University-0.52-0.64vs Predicted
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6American University-0.86-1.23vs Predicted
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7Catholic University of America-1.27-1.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.49University of Maryland-0.697.1%1st Place
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2.63Virginia Tech0.6226.2%1st Place
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2.17Hampton University1.4738.0%1st Place
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4.13William and Mary-0.369.6%1st Place
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4.36Christopher Newport University-0.528.5%1st Place
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4.77American University-0.866.9%1st Place
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5.44Catholic University of America-1.273.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Thonnard | 7.1% | 9.4% | 14.5% | 15.0% | 18.4% | 20.4% | 14.9% |
| Luke Manternach | 26.2% | 27.6% | 20.3% | 14.0% | 7.6% | 3.3% | 1.0% |
| Valerio Palamara | 38.0% | 29.7% | 16.8% | 9.8% | 4.2% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Eric Johnson | 9.6% | 11.2% | 16.0% | 18.6% | 18.8% | 16.1% | 9.8% |
| Noah Hubbard | 8.5% | 9.8% | 14.2% | 16.7% | 19.6% | 18.4% | 13.0% |
| Hannah Arey | 6.9% | 7.4% | 10.8% | 14.8% | 18.1% | 21.0% | 20.9% |
| Benedict Gorman | 3.8% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 11.2% | 13.2% | 19.4% | 40.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.