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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.90+2.60vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.79+0.44vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.21+0.23vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.31+0.53vs Predicted
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5Bates College1.65+0.32vs Predicted
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6Boston University3.70-3.42vs Predicted
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7Brandeis University0.59-0.69vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.90-4.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.6Tufts University2.900.1%1st Place
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2.44Harvard University3.790.3%1st Place
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3.23Dartmouth College3.210.2%1st Place
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4.53Tufts University2.310.1%1st Place
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5.32Bates College1.650.0%1st Place
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2.58Boston University3.700.3%1st Place
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6.31Brandeis University0.590.0%1st Place
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3.6Tufts University2.900.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Moody | 14.0% | 14.9% | 17.8% | 20.5% | 19.1% | 11.0% | 2.7% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 29.5% | 28.4% | 21.5% | 12.4% | 5.8% | 2.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Williams | 16.4% | 18.4% | 21.2% | 22.7% | 13.3% | 6.7% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Barclift | 6.1% | 8.1% | 11.2% | 16.1% | 26.1% | 24.6% | 7.8% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Scribner | 3.2% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 8.9% | 19.0% | 38.6% | 20.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Astwood | 29.4% | 24.1% | 20.3% | 14.7% | 9.0% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Hardy | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 4.7% | 7.7% | 14.7% | 67.7% | 0.0% |
| James Moody | 14.0% | 14.9% | 17.8% | 20.5% | 19.1% | 11.0% | 2.7% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.