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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.21+2.01vs Predicted
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2Bates College1.65+3.08vs Predicted
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3Boston University3.70-0.54vs Predicted
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4Brandeis University-0.15+2.72vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.57-0.95vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.31-1.64vs Predicted
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7Harvard University3.79-4.69vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.57-3.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.01Dartmouth College3.210.2%1st Place
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5.08Bates College1.650.0%1st Place
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2.46Boston University3.700.3%1st Place
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6.72Brandeis University-0.150.0%1st Place
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4.05Tufts University2.570.1%1st Place
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4.36Tufts University2.310.1%1st Place
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2.31Harvard University3.790.3%1st Place
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4.05Tufts University2.570.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Williams | 19.2% | 20.8% | 22.0% | 21.5% | 11.0% | 5.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Scribner | 3.6% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 11.5% | 21.2% | 42.9% | 9.6% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Astwood | 29.0% | 26.4% | 23.7% | 12.8% | 6.4% | 1.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Hyman | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 3.5% | 10.2% | 83.5% | 0.0% |
| Rolfe Glover | 7.7% | 11.1% | 15.4% | 21.5% | 25.4% | 16.4% | 2.5% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Barclift | 6.1% | 9.2% | 11.6% | 18.9% | 27.9% | 22.1% | 4.2% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 34.3% | 26.6% | 20.5% | 12.6% | 4.6% | 1.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rolfe Glover | 7.7% | 11.1% | 15.4% | 21.5% | 25.4% | 16.4% | 2.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.