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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University0.72+0.84vs Predicted
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2William and Mary-0.18+1.34vs Predicted
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3Virginia Tech-0.44+0.36vs Predicted
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4American University-0.91-0.08vs Predicted
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5Christopher Newport University-0.87-1.08vs Predicted
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6University of Maryland-1.87-0.62vs Predicted
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7Catholic University of America-2.71-0.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.84Hampton University0.7249.5%1st Place
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3.34William and Mary-0.1814.4%1st Place
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3.36Virginia Tech-0.4413.6%1st Place
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3.92American University-0.919.1%1st Place
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3.92Christopher Newport University-0.8710.0%1st Place
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5.38University of Maryland-1.872.6%1st Place
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6.23Catholic University of America-2.710.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stefano Palamara | 49.5% | 28.0% | 14.2% | 6.0% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Sam Dutilly | 14.4% | 19.3% | 21.9% | 18.7% | 15.3% | 8.6% | 1.8% |
| Elizabeth Heckler | 13.6% | 19.2% | 22.0% | 20.1% | 15.3% | 8.5% | 1.5% |
| Anika Liner | 9.1% | 13.2% | 16.7% | 21.3% | 21.1% | 14.4% | 4.2% |
| Walter Roou | 10.0% | 13.2% | 15.8% | 20.2% | 21.9% | 14.6% | 4.4% |
| Emma Retzlaff | 2.6% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 17.2% | 35.1% | 24.9% |
| Faith Dickerson | 0.9% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 18.3% | 63.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.