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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1William and Mary-0.18+2.32vs Predicted
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2Virginia Tech-0.44+1.37vs Predicted
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3Hampton University0.72-1.11vs Predicted
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4Christopher Newport University-0.87-0.05vs Predicted
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5University of Maryland-1.87+0.42vs Predicted
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6American University-0.91-2.12vs Predicted
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7Catholic University of America-2.71-0.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.32William and Mary-0.1814.1%1st Place
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3.37Virginia Tech-0.4414.0%1st Place
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1.89Hampton University0.7247.0%1st Place
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3.95Christopher Newport University-0.879.4%1st Place
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5.42University of Maryland-1.873.2%1st Place
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3.88American University-0.9110.6%1st Place
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6.17Catholic University of America-2.711.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Dutilly | 14.1% | 19.6% | 22.4% | 19.2% | 14.6% | 8.6% | 1.4% |
| Elizabeth Heckler | 14.0% | 18.1% | 20.4% | 21.9% | 16.6% | 7.5% | 1.3% |
| Stefano Palamara | 47.0% | 28.9% | 14.8% | 6.7% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Walter Roou | 9.4% | 13.9% | 15.8% | 18.4% | 22.0% | 16.4% | 4.1% |
| Emma Retzlaff | 3.2% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 15.8% | 33.8% | 27.5% |
| Anika Liner | 10.6% | 12.8% | 17.2% | 19.4% | 21.8% | 14.3% | 4.0% |
| Faith Dickerson | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 19.0% | 61.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.