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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University3.70+1.45vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.79+0.37vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.57+0.97vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College3.21-0.90vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.31-0.64vs Predicted
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6Bates College1.65-0.85vs Predicted
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7Brandeis University-0.15-0.41vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.57-4.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.45Boston University3.700.3%1st Place
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2.37Harvard University3.790.3%1st Place
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3.97Tufts University2.570.1%1st Place
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3.1Dartmouth College3.210.2%1st Place
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4.36Tufts University2.310.1%1st Place
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5.15Bates College1.650.0%1st Place
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6.59Brandeis University-0.150.0%1st Place
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3.97Tufts University2.570.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Astwood | 31.7% | 26.1% | 18.5% | 15.1% | 6.2% | 2.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 30.8% | 30.3% | 18.7% | 12.8% | 5.7% | 1.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rolfe Glover | 8.8% | 10.4% | 17.7% | 20.9% | 25.2% | 13.9% | 3.1% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Williams | 18.3% | 18.2% | 24.3% | 19.4% | 14.6% | 4.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Barclift | 6.1% | 9.8% | 12.2% | 18.3% | 26.3% | 22.5% | 4.8% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Scribner | 3.4% | 4.4% | 7.3% | 11.1% | 18.1% | 43.6% | 12.1% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Hyman | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 11.4% | 79.3% | 0.0% |
| Rolfe Glover | 8.8% | 10.4% | 17.7% | 20.9% | 25.2% | 13.9% | 3.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.