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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University3.70+1.45vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.79+0.35vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.31+1.32vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.57-0.01vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College3.21-1.86vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.57-2.01vs Predicted
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7Brandeis University-0.15-0.29vs Predicted
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8Bates College1.65-2.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.45Boston University3.700.3%1st Place
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2.35Harvard University3.790.3%1st Place
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4.32Tufts University2.310.1%1st Place
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3.99Tufts University2.570.1%1st Place
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3.14Dartmouth College3.210.2%1st Place
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3.99Tufts University2.570.1%1st Place
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6.71Brandeis University-0.150.0%1st Place
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5.04Bates College1.650.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Astwood | 31.5% | 25.9% | 19.8% | 13.6% | 7.4% | 1.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 33.6% | 25.8% | 21.3% | 12.1% | 5.7% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Barclift | 6.8% | 8.8% | 11.7% | 19.6% | 27.7% | 22.3% | 3.1% | 0.0% |
| Rolfe Glover | 8.2% | 12.6% | 13.7% | 24.1% | 22.0% | 17.6% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Williams | 15.5% | 20.6% | 24.9% | 18.7% | 14.2% | 5.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Rolfe Glover | 8.2% | 12.6% | 13.7% | 24.1% | 22.0% | 17.6% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Hyman | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 3.5% | 9.4% | 83.9% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Scribner | 4.0% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 10.5% | 19.5% | 42.0% | 10.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.