← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1William and Mary-0.18+2.45vs Predicted
-
2Hampton University0.72-0.09vs Predicted
-
3Virginia Tech-0.44+0.41vs Predicted
-
4University of Maryland-1.45+0.89vs Predicted
-
5Christopher Newport University-0.87-0.87vs Predicted
-
6American University-0.91-2.08vs Predicted
-
7Catholic University of America-2.71-0.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.45William and Mary-0.1814.8%1st Place
-
1.91Hampton University0.7246.4%1st Place
-
3.41Virginia Tech-0.4413.8%1st Place
-
4.89University of Maryland-1.454.6%1st Place
-
4.13Christopher Newport University-0.878.5%1st Place
-
3.92American University-0.9110.4%1st Place
-
6.31Catholic University of America-2.711.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Dutilly | 14.8% | 16.3% | 21.1% | 19.6% | 16.2% | 10.0% | 2.1% |
| Stefano Palamara | 46.4% | 30.1% | 13.7% | 6.9% | 2.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Heckler | 13.8% | 18.4% | 20.6% | 20.7% | 15.7% | 8.6% | 2.2% |
| Carter Saunders | 4.6% | 7.2% | 10.1% | 12.3% | 19.2% | 31.6% | 14.9% |
| Walter Roou | 8.5% | 12.4% | 15.8% | 16.6% | 20.4% | 20.2% | 6.0% |
| Anika Liner | 10.4% | 13.7% | 16.4% | 19.1% | 19.3% | 16.2% | 5.0% |
| Faith Dickerson | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 13.1% | 69.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.