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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.31+3.34vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.79+0.41vs Predicted
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3Boston University3.70-0.53vs Predicted
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4Bates College1.65+1.29vs Predicted
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5Brandeis University0.59+1.37vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.57-1.94vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.57-2.94vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College3.21-4.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.34Tufts University2.310.1%1st Place
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2.41Harvard University3.790.3%1st Place
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2.47Boston University3.700.3%1st Place
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5.29Bates College1.650.0%1st Place
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6.37Brandeis University0.590.0%1st Place
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4.06Tufts University2.570.1%1st Place
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4.06Tufts University2.570.1%1st Place
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3.05Dartmouth College3.210.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Barclift | 8.3% | 8.7% | 10.9% | 18.8% | 25.6% | 21.4% | 6.3% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 29.6% | 29.3% | 21.7% | 12.0% | 4.9% | 2.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Astwood | 29.2% | 26.7% | 21.2% | 15.6% | 5.3% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Scribner | 2.9% | 4.3% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 18.5% | 39.7% | 18.4% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Hardy | 0.5% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 16.5% | 68.3% | 0.0% |
| Rolfe Glover | 8.7% | 11.0% | 15.8% | 19.3% | 25.5% | 14.3% | 5.4% | 0.0% |
| Rolfe Glover | 8.7% | 11.0% | 15.8% | 19.3% | 25.5% | 14.3% | 5.4% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Williams | 20.8% | 18.4% | 21.2% | 20.6% | 13.8% | 4.1% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.