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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University3.70+1.51vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.57+1.99vs Predicted
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3Harvard University3.79-0.61vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.31+0.42vs Predicted
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5Brandeis University0.59+1.36vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.21-2.82vs Predicted
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7Bates College1.65-1.86vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.57-4.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.51Boston University3.700.3%1st Place
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3.99Tufts University2.570.1%1st Place
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2.39Harvard University3.790.3%1st Place
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4.42Tufts University2.310.1%1st Place
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6.36Brandeis University0.590.0%1st Place
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3.18Dartmouth College3.210.2%1st Place
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5.14Bates College1.650.0%1st Place
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3.99Tufts University2.570.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Astwood | 30.1% | 26.7% | 18.9% | 14.5% | 6.3% | 3.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Rolfe Glover | 9.1% | 11.8% | 14.9% | 22.5% | 22.4% | 15.3% | 4.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 31.7% | 28.9% | 18.9% | 12.2% | 5.8% | 2.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Barclift | 7.0% | 7.6% | 13.3% | 15.8% | 27.9% | 21.7% | 6.7% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Hardy | 1.0% | 1.1% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 14.6% | 69.7% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Williams | 16.5% | 19.2% | 23.1% | 20.7% | 13.0% | 6.6% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Scribner | 4.6% | 4.7% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 18.4% | 36.6% | 17.9% | 0.0% |
| Rolfe Glover | 9.1% | 11.8% | 14.9% | 22.5% | 22.4% | 15.3% | 4.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.