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📊 Prediction Accuracy
70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University1.60+3.37vs Predicted
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2Harvard University1.62+2.50vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.14+0.60vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston1.81-0.02vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.53-0.49vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College0.73+0.20vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.68-0.50vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont-0.02-0.26vs Predicted
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9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.13-1.11vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island1.05-4.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.37Roger Williams University1.6013.2%1st Place
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4.5Harvard University1.6215.2%1st Place
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3.6Brown University2.1419.9%1st Place
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3.98College of Charleston1.8117.4%1st Place
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4.51Tufts University1.5312.3%1st Place
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6.2Bowdoin College0.735.6%1st Place
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6.5Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.684.5%1st Place
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7.74University of Vermont-0.022.8%1st Place
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7.89U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.132.4%1st Place
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5.7University of Rhode Island1.056.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Jack Roman | 13.2% | 14.2% | 13.2% | 13.3% | 13.0% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 1.1% |
Kate Danielson | 15.2% | 11.4% | 12.5% | 12.4% | 12.1% | 12.4% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 1.2% |
Tyler Lamm | 19.9% | 18.1% | 16.0% | 13.8% | 11.8% | 8.9% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
Bella Shakespeare | 17.4% | 15.2% | 14.0% | 14.1% | 12.0% | 11.1% | 8.2% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 0.5% |
Devon Owen | 12.3% | 12.9% | 14.0% | 12.9% | 12.4% | 10.8% | 11.5% | 7.5% | 4.5% | 1.1% |
Shea McGrath | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 13.5% | 14.6% | 14.5% | 9.4% |
Sophia Woodbury | 4.5% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 11.9% | 14.9% | 16.6% | 12.5% |
William Denker | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 13.3% | 21.6% | 31.2% |
Robert Finora | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 12.7% | 18.9% | 36.6% |
Olin Guck | 6.6% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 12.4% | 12.2% | 14.7% | 10.5% | 5.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.