Race 16A

tufts-central-series-1

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
Andrew Mollerus 33.0% 26.7% 19.5% 12.5% 6.4% 1.7% 0.2% 0.0%
Rolfe Glover 8.5% 11.7% 14.2% 22.7% 24.3% 14.2% 4.4% 0.0%
Ryan Astwood 28.3% 27.3% 23.3% 12.9% 6.0% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0%
Jacob Hardy 0.4% 1.6% 2.3% 3.1% 7.2% 18.0% 67.4% 0.0%
Samuel Scribner 3.2% 4.6% 6.4% 10.1% 18.4% 37.5% 19.8% 0.0%
Rolfe Glover 8.5% 11.7% 14.2% 22.7% 24.3% 14.2% 4.4% 0.0%
Cameron Barclift 6.4% 8.5% 12.2% 18.1% 25.6% 22.1% 7.1% 0.0%
Sarah Williams 20.2% 19.6% 22.1% 20.6% 12.1% 4.6% 0.8% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.