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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University0.72+0.95vs Predicted
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2William and Mary-0.18+1.42vs Predicted
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3Virginia Tech-0.44+0.33vs Predicted
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4American University-0.91-0.02vs Predicted
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5University of Maryland-1.45-0.08vs Predicted
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6Christopher Newport University-0.87-1.87vs Predicted
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7Catholic University of America-2.71-0.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.95Hampton University0.7246.4%1st Place
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3.42William and Mary-0.1813.3%1st Place
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3.33Virginia Tech-0.4416.0%1st Place
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3.98American University-0.919.6%1st Place
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4.92University of Maryland-1.455.0%1st Place
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4.13Christopher Newport University-0.878.1%1st Place
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6.28Catholic University of America-2.711.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stefano Palamara | 46.4% | 27.5% | 15.4% | 7.3% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Sam Dutilly | 13.3% | 17.8% | 23.4% | 19.0% | 14.8% | 9.5% | 2.3% |
| Elizabeth Heckler | 16.0% | 19.3% | 19.8% | 18.9% | 15.3% | 8.8% | 2.0% |
| Anika Liner | 9.6% | 13.0% | 15.6% | 19.5% | 21.6% | 16.0% | 4.9% |
| Carter Saunders | 5.0% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 13.2% | 16.9% | 32.6% | 16.1% |
| Walter Roou | 8.1% | 12.6% | 14.7% | 18.0% | 21.8% | 19.1% | 5.8% |
| Faith Dickerson | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 7.0% | 13.2% | 69.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.