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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1William and Mary-0.18+2.28vs Predicted
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2Hampton University-0.10+0.98vs Predicted
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3American University-0.91+0.99vs Predicted
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4Virginia Tech-0.25-1.33vs Predicted
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5University of Maryland-1.45-0.15vs Predicted
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6Christopher Newport University-0.87-2.01vs Predicted
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7Catholic University of America-2.71-0.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.28William and Mary-0.1819.0%1st Place
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2.98Hampton University-0.1022.1%1st Place
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3.99American University-0.9111.7%1st Place
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2.67Virginia Tech-0.2527.6%1st Place
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4.85University of Maryland-1.456.5%1st Place
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3.99Christopher Newport University-0.8711.4%1st Place
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6.25Catholic University of America-2.711.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Dutilly | 19.0% | 18.1% | 18.3% | 18.1% | 15.1% | 9.6% | 1.9% |
| Tommaso Ciaglia | 22.1% | 22.7% | 18.6% | 17.8% | 10.7% | 6.6% | 1.5% |
| Anika Liner | 11.7% | 12.4% | 14.4% | 17.3% | 20.4% | 18.4% | 5.2% |
| Malik Deslauriers | 27.6% | 23.5% | 20.9% | 14.9% | 9.2% | 3.1% | 0.7% |
| Carter Saunders | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 12.0% | 18.2% | 30.9% | 16.1% |
| Walter Roou | 11.4% | 12.9% | 15.6% | 15.6% | 20.0% | 19.2% | 5.3% |
| Faith Dickerson | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 12.1% | 69.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.