← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Harvard University3.79+1.36vs Predicted
-
2Tufts University2.31+2.18vs Predicted
-
3Bates College1.65+1.95vs Predicted
-
4Tufts University2.57-0.13vs Predicted
-
5Tufts University2.57-1.13vs Predicted
-
6Boston University3.70-3.46vs Predicted
-
7Dartmouth College3.21-3.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.36Harvard University3.790.3%1st Place
-
4.18Tufts University2.310.1%1st Place
-
4.95Bates College1.650.0%1st Place
-
3.87Tufts University2.570.1%1st Place
-
3.87Tufts University2.570.1%1st Place
-
2.54Boston University3.700.3%1st Place
-
3.09Dartmouth College3.210.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Mollerus | 33.3% | 26.3% | 20.3% | 12.6% | 6.0% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Barclift | 7.5% | 9.8% | 13.9% | 18.0% | 27.5% | 23.3% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Scribner | 4.4% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 10.8% | 18.3% | 54.0% | 0.0% |
| Rolfe Glover | 9.8% | 12.0% | 15.2% | 22.1% | 26.5% | 14.4% | 0.0% |
| Rolfe Glover | 9.8% | 12.0% | 15.2% | 22.1% | 26.5% | 14.4% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Astwood | 28.5% | 26.3% | 20.0% | 15.4% | 7.3% | 2.5% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Williams | 16.5% | 20.3% | 23.4% | 21.1% | 14.4% | 4.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.