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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1William and Mary-0.18+2.29vs Predicted
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2American University-0.91+1.90vs Predicted
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3University of Maryland-1.45+1.82vs Predicted
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4Virginia Tech-0.25-1.25vs Predicted
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5Christopher Newport University-0.87-1.01vs Predicted
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6Hampton University-0.10-3.06vs Predicted
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7Catholic University of America-2.71-0.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.29William and Mary-0.1818.6%1st Place
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3.9American University-0.9111.6%1st Place
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4.82University of Maryland-1.455.8%1st Place
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2.75Virginia Tech-0.2526.0%1st Place
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3.99Christopher Newport University-0.8710.7%1st Place
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2.94Hampton University-0.1025.6%1st Place
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6.31Catholic University of America-2.711.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Dutilly | 18.6% | 17.2% | 19.6% | 19.5% | 14.1% | 8.6% | 2.4% |
| Anika Liner | 11.6% | 14.5% | 15.4% | 15.5% | 21.4% | 16.8% | 4.7% |
| Carter Saunders | 5.8% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 12.6% | 16.1% | 31.1% | 16.0% |
| Malik Deslauriers | 26.0% | 24.2% | 20.1% | 14.2% | 10.2% | 4.5% | 0.8% |
| Walter Roou | 10.7% | 14.0% | 13.6% | 18.5% | 19.2% | 18.9% | 5.2% |
| Tommaso Ciaglia | 25.6% | 19.6% | 19.0% | 15.7% | 12.4% | 6.3% | 1.4% |
| Faith Dickerson | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 6.6% | 13.8% | 69.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.