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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University-0.10+2.24vs Predicted
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2American University-0.91+2.09vs Predicted
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3Virginia Tech1.12-1.27vs Predicted
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4William and Mary-0.18-0.52vs Predicted
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5University of Maryland-1.45-0.03vs Predicted
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6Christopher Newport University-0.87-1.80vs Predicted
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7Catholic University of America-2.71-0.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.24Hampton University-0.1014.8%1st Place
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4.09American University-0.916.8%1st Place
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1.73Virginia Tech1.1253.6%1st Place
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3.48William and Mary-0.1811.5%1st Place
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4.97University of Maryland-1.454.0%1st Place
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4.2Christopher Newport University-0.877.8%1st Place
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6.28Catholic University of America-2.711.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tommaso Ciaglia | 14.8% | 20.9% | 21.7% | 20.2% | 14.2% | 6.9% | 1.3% |
| Anika Liner | 6.8% | 12.8% | 16.6% | 20.0% | 21.1% | 17.4% | 5.3% |
| Sam Springer | 53.6% | 27.3% | 13.2% | 4.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sam Dutilly | 11.5% | 18.4% | 21.8% | 19.8% | 17.8% | 8.8% | 1.9% |
| Carter Saunders | 4.0% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 12.9% | 17.8% | 33.0% | 16.3% |
| Walter Roou | 7.8% | 11.3% | 14.5% | 18.6% | 21.4% | 20.3% | 6.1% |
| Faith Dickerson | 1.5% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 13.4% | 69.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.