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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech1.12+0.75vs Predicted
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2William and Mary-0.18+1.52vs Predicted
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3American University-0.91+1.08vs Predicted
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4University of Maryland-1.45+0.92vs Predicted
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5Hampton University-0.10-1.73vs Predicted
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6Christopher Newport University-0.87-1.83vs Predicted
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7Catholic University of America-2.71-0.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.75Virginia Tech1.1252.7%1st Place
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3.52William and Mary-0.1812.3%1st Place
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4.08American University-0.918.5%1st Place
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4.92University of Maryland-1.454.9%1st Place
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3.27Hampton University-0.1013.6%1st Place
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4.17Christopher Newport University-0.876.8%1st Place
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6.29Catholic University of America-2.711.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Springer | 52.7% | 28.1% | 13.0% | 4.7% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Sam Dutilly | 12.3% | 18.4% | 18.6% | 21.3% | 16.9% | 10.0% | 2.5% |
| Anika Liner | 8.5% | 11.8% | 16.4% | 19.2% | 20.0% | 18.9% | 5.3% |
| Carter Saunders | 4.9% | 6.4% | 10.3% | 12.7% | 18.1% | 31.5% | 16.1% |
| Tommaso Ciaglia | 13.6% | 20.8% | 23.3% | 19.2% | 14.7% | 7.2% | 1.1% |
| Walter Roou | 6.8% | 12.4% | 15.3% | 18.4% | 22.2% | 19.1% | 5.8% |
| Faith Dickerson | 1.4% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 13.1% | 69.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.