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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.49+7.25vs Predicted
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2Maine Maritime Academy1.38+10.58vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.70+4.48vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.64+3.31vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.67+2.34vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.39-1.19vs Predicted
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7Yale University2.76-0.01vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60-0.49vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University1.88+1.38vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University2.68-2.48vs Predicted
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11Brown University2.56-3.10vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College2.41-3.33vs Predicted
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13University of Connecticut1.93-2.94vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.12-1.14vs Predicted
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15Boston University2.55-7.28vs Predicted
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16McGill University1.06-2.55vs Predicted
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17University of New Hampshire0.76-2.69vs Predicted
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18Bentley University0.02-2.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.25Harvard University2.490.1%1st Place
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12.58Maine Maritime Academy1.380.0%1st Place
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7.48Tufts University2.700.1%1st Place
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7.31Roger Williams University2.640.1%1st Place
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7.34Boston College2.670.1%1st Place
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4.81Dartmouth College3.390.1%1st Place
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6.99Yale University2.760.1%1st Place
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7.51U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.1%1st Place
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10.38Salve Regina University1.880.0%1st Place
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7.52Northeastern University2.680.1%1st Place
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7.9Brown University2.560.1%1st Place
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8.67Bowdoin College2.410.1%1st Place
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10.06University of Connecticut1.930.0%1st Place
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12.86Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.120.0%1st Place
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7.72Boston University2.550.1%1st Place
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13.45McGill University1.060.0%1st Place
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14.31University of New Hampshire0.760.0%1st Place
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15.87Bentley University0.020.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Lamont | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Andrew McHenry | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 10.0% | 12.3% | 15.1% | 10.8% | 6.1% |
| Charles Proctor | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Eric Schwarm | 7.8% | 7.0% | 10.4% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Ryan Morrison | 7.8% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Hunter Johnstone | 14.4% | 15.3% | 13.7% | 13.1% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marly Isler | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Bradley Brown | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| James Goodson | 3.5% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 10.6% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 1.5% |
| Scott Goodrich | 8.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Timothy Harding | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Sarah Fiske | 5.7% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 0.3% |
| Sarah Fuller | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 1.0% |
| Karl Ryder | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 11.1% | 14.1% | 14.5% | 9.5% |
| Conor Fowler | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Maxime Fecteau | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 14.0% | 16.7% | 12.7% |
| Paige Fagan | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 10.7% | 12.0% | 23.2% | 19.3% |
| Kristina Schneider | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 6.5% | 9.7% | 17.3% | 48.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.