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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1William and Mary-0.18+2.31vs Predicted
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2Hampton University-0.10+0.94vs Predicted
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3Virginia Tech-0.25-0.24vs Predicted
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4Christopher Newport University-0.87-0.03vs Predicted
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5American University-0.91-1.01vs Predicted
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6University of Maryland-1.45-1.17vs Predicted
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7Catholic University of America-2.71-0.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.31William and Mary-0.1817.5%1st Place
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2.94Hampton University-0.1023.4%1st Place
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2.76Virginia Tech-0.2526.6%1st Place
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3.97Christopher Newport University-0.8711.6%1st Place
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3.99American University-0.9111.7%1st Place
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4.83University of Maryland-1.457.1%1st Place
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6.21Catholic University of America-2.712.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Dutilly | 17.5% | 18.6% | 19.2% | 18.1% | 15.8% | 9.0% | 1.8% |
| Tommaso Ciaglia | 23.4% | 21.0% | 20.1% | 17.5% | 10.9% | 6.3% | 0.8% |
| Malik Deslauriers | 26.6% | 23.2% | 19.7% | 14.9% | 10.3% | 4.9% | 0.5% |
| Walter Roou | 11.6% | 14.3% | 15.0% | 14.8% | 20.3% | 17.3% | 6.8% |
| Anika Liner | 11.7% | 12.3% | 14.5% | 18.1% | 18.8% | 18.6% | 5.9% |
| Carter Saunders | 7.1% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 11.7% | 17.6% | 30.6% | 16.4% |
| Faith Dickerson | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 13.3% | 67.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.