Race 4A

boston-harbor-invitational

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18
Hunter Johnstone 15.0% 13.7% 11.5% 10.8% 9.5% 8.6% 7.2% 6.3% 4.2% 4.9% 3.9% 2.5% 0.9% 0.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Karl Ryder 0.6% 0.9% 2.2% 1.8% 1.6% 1.3% 3.2% 3.0% 3.3% 3.7% 5.3% 5.0% 6.4% 8.4% 11.0% 16.6% 15.2% 10.5%
Ben Lamont 5.4% 5.6% 6.2% 5.9% 6.9% 7.7% 6.6% 6.8% 6.7% 7.8% 7.5% 7.7% 5.8% 6.2% 3.8% 2.4% 0.8% 0.2%
Andrew McHenry 1.8% 2.2% 3.1% 2.8% 3.2% 3.6% 4.1% 3.2% 3.8% 4.0% 4.7% 5.3% 7.5% 8.0% 13.5% 12.4% 10.5% 6.3%
Sarah Fiske 5.6% 7.2% 7.0% 6.7% 6.2% 5.4% 6.4% 6.7% 7.0% 5.3% 7.8% 6.4% 6.0% 6.7% 4.6% 3.1% 1.8% 0.1%
Conor Fowler 7.4% 6.0% 6.4% 5.8% 7.9% 8.6% 7.0% 7.7% 7.1% 7.0% 6.0% 5.7% 6.2% 4.4% 2.7% 3.2% 0.9% 0.0%
Eric Schwarm 7.9% 7.8% 7.7% 7.5% 6.9% 6.3% 7.6% 8.4% 6.3% 7.9% 6.0% 5.9% 5.3% 2.9% 3.2% 1.7% 0.6% 0.1%
Scott Goodrich 7.3% 8.6% 8.0% 7.4% 6.9% 8.7% 6.9% 7.0% 7.1% 7.2% 5.2% 5.6% 5.8% 4.9% 1.9% 1.1% 0.4% 0.0%
Marly Isler 7.8% 8.2% 7.4% 8.6% 8.6% 7.8% 6.7% 8.7% 7.0% 6.8% 6.6% 5.2% 4.3% 3.4% 1.8% 0.8% 0.3% 0.0%
Sarah Fuller 4.2% 3.4% 3.1% 4.0% 3.5% 4.2% 5.2% 5.2% 5.2% 5.6% 7.7% 8.6% 8.5% 9.7% 8.3% 6.9% 5.2% 1.5%
Ryan Morrison 7.6% 8.0% 6.9% 6.1% 7.3% 6.6% 8.0% 7.7% 7.4% 6.9% 6.3% 7.1% 4.5% 4.0% 3.3% 1.5% 0.7% 0.1%
James Goodson 3.0% 2.8% 4.0% 4.4% 3.1% 4.3% 4.7% 5.1% 5.7% 5.9% 6.2% 7.0% 8.2% 10.2% 9.1% 7.6% 6.8% 1.9%
Charles Proctor 8.9% 6.6% 8.5% 8.6% 7.3% 7.9% 6.4% 6.6% 7.9% 7.4% 5.6% 5.5% 4.8% 3.9% 2.3% 1.4% 0.4% 0.0%
Bradley Brown 7.3% 8.8% 8.0% 8.1% 7.6% 7.1% 7.3% 5.5% 6.9% 6.4% 6.6% 6.5% 4.6% 3.7% 3.1% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
Timothy Harding 6.8% 6.7% 6.2% 7.8% 8.9% 6.7% 7.2% 6.4% 8.4% 6.5% 6.3% 5.9% 5.5% 3.9% 4.0% 2.3% 0.4% 0.1%
Kristina Schneider 0.4% 0.9% 0.7% 0.2% 0.4% 1.1% 1.8% 0.9% 1.1% 1.0% 1.5% 2.0% 2.3% 3.1% 6.4% 8.7% 16.2% 51.3%
Maxime Fecteau 1.4% 1.6% 1.4% 2.0% 2.4% 2.6% 2.1% 2.9% 2.5% 2.8% 3.8% 5.0% 7.3% 7.9% 10.0% 14.8% 16.6% 12.9%
Paige Fagan 1.6% 1.0% 1.7% 1.5% 1.8% 1.5% 1.6% 1.9% 2.4% 2.9% 3.0% 3.1% 6.1% 8.0% 10.7% 13.6% 22.7% 14.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.