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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1William and Mary-0.18+2.27vs Predicted
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2Hampton University-0.10+1.02vs Predicted
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3Christopher Newport University-0.87+0.95vs Predicted
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4American University-0.91-0.07vs Predicted
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5Virginia Tech-0.25-2.24vs Predicted
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6University of Maryland-1.45-1.15vs Predicted
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7Catholic University of America-2.71-0.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.27William and Mary-0.1819.2%1st Place
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3.02Hampton University-0.1021.0%1st Place
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3.95Christopher Newport University-0.8711.3%1st Place
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3.93American University-0.9112.7%1st Place
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2.76Virginia Tech-0.2527.1%1st Place
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4.85University of Maryland-1.456.5%1st Place
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6.23Catholic University of America-2.712.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Dutilly | 19.2% | 19.1% | 18.9% | 15.7% | 15.3% | 9.4% | 2.4% |
| Tommaso Ciaglia | 21.0% | 21.6% | 20.1% | 18.1% | 11.5% | 6.5% | 1.3% |
| Walter Roou | 11.3% | 14.3% | 14.2% | 17.2% | 20.2% | 17.0% | 5.8% |
| Anika Liner | 12.7% | 13.2% | 14.6% | 16.5% | 19.8% | 17.8% | 5.4% |
| Malik Deslauriers | 27.1% | 22.1% | 20.2% | 15.1% | 10.3% | 4.6% | 0.6% |
| Carter Saunders | 6.5% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 12.6% | 16.7% | 31.4% | 16.3% |
| Faith Dickerson | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 13.2% | 68.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.