← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
4
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Hamilton College0.59+1.12vs Predicted
-
2SUNY Stony Brook-0.67+1.19vs Predicted
-
3SUNY Maritime College1.07-1.34vs Predicted
-
4Webb Institute-0.51-0.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.12Hamilton College0.5928.9%1st Place
-
3.19SUNY Stony Brook-0.677.8%1st Place
-
1.66SUNY Maritime College1.0752.2%1st Place
-
3.03Webb Institute-0.5111.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alan Becker | 28.9% | 39.0% | 23.4% | 8.6% |
| Gerrit Bittmann | 7.8% | 14.1% | 29.8% | 48.4% |
| Noah Kuzloski | 52.2% | 31.9% | 13.2% | 2.6% |
| Giovanni Perrotti | 11.1% | 14.9% | 33.7% | 40.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.