← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
4
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Hamilton College0.59+1.13vs Predicted
-
2SUNY Stony Brook-0.67+1.10vs Predicted
-
3Webb Institute-0.51+0.06vs Predicted
-
4SUNY Maritime College1.07-2.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.13Hamilton College0.5929.7%1st Place
-
3.1SUNY Stony Brook-0.6710.8%1st Place
-
3.06Webb Institute-0.519.5%1st Place
-
1.71SUNY Maritime College1.0750.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alan Becker | 29.7% | 37.1% | 23.4% | 9.7% |
| Gerrit Bittmann | 10.8% | 14.1% | 29.8% | 45.3% |
| Giovanni Perrotti | 9.5% | 17.1% | 31.3% | 42.1% |
| Noah Kuzloski | 50.0% | 31.7% | 15.4% | 2.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.