← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Maine Maritime Academy1.38+11.07vs Predicted
-
2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60+5.52vs Predicted
-
3Dartmouth College3.39+1.75vs Predicted
-
4Boston College2.67+2.98vs Predicted
-
5Bowdoin College1.96+4.62vs Predicted
-
6Roger Williams University2.64+1.19vs Predicted
-
7University of Connecticut0.76+6.85vs Predicted
-
8Salve Regina University1.88+1.91vs Predicted
-
9Harvard University2.49-1.27vs Predicted
-
10Boston University2.55-2.25vs Predicted
-
11Yale University2.76-4.07vs Predicted
-
12McGill University1.06+1.23vs Predicted
-
13Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.12-0.40vs Predicted
-
14Brown University2.56-6.81vs Predicted
-
15Tufts University2.70-8.05vs Predicted
-
16Northeastern University2.68-8.88vs Predicted
-
17University of New Hampshire0.76-2.99vs Predicted
-
18Bentley University0.02-2.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
12.07Maine Maritime Academy1.380.0%1st Place
-
7.52U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.1%1st Place
-
4.75Dartmouth College3.390.1%1st Place
-
6.98Boston College2.670.1%1st Place
-
9.62Bowdoin College1.960.0%1st Place
-
7.19Roger Williams University2.640.1%1st Place
-
13.85University of Connecticut0.760.0%1st Place
-
9.91Salve Regina University1.880.0%1st Place
-
7.73Harvard University2.490.1%1st Place
-
7.75Boston University2.550.1%1st Place
-
6.93Yale University2.760.1%1st Place
-
13.23McGill University1.060.0%1st Place
-
12.6Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.120.0%1st Place
-
7.19Brown University2.560.1%1st Place
-
6.95Tufts University2.700.1%1st Place
-
7.12Northeastern University2.680.1%1st Place
-
14.01University of New Hampshire0.760.0%1st Place
-
15.61Bentley University0.020.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew McHenry | 3.0% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 11.2% | 11.4% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 5.2% |
| Bradley Brown | 5.7% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Hunter Johnstone | 14.8% | 14.3% | 12.6% | 11.5% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Morrison | 8.8% | 9.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Philip Koch | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 1.6% | 1.3% |
| Eric Schwarm | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| William Kresic | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 8.2% | 12.0% | 13.0% | 18.0% | 16.1% |
| James Goodson | 3.9% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 0.8% |
| Ben Lamont | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Conor Fowler | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Marly Isler | 8.2% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Maxime Fecteau | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 12.5% | 14.6% | 14.4% | 10.0% |
| Karl Ryder | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 11.9% | 12.6% | 12.1% | 7.9% |
| Timothy Harding | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Charles Proctor | 8.0% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Scott Goodrich | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Paige Fagan | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 15.0% | 17.8% | 16.5% |
| Kristina Schneider | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 10.9% | 18.8% | 41.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.