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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College1.96+8.97vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.70+5.14vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University1.88+7.27vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.67+2.99vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University2.68+1.99vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60+1.31vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.56+0.43vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.49-0.37vs Predicted
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9Boston University2.55-1.56vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University2.64-2.64vs Predicted
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11Maine Maritime Academy1.38+0.97vs Predicted
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12University of Connecticut0.76+2.11vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College3.39-8.42vs Predicted
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14Yale University2.76-7.46vs Predicted
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15McGill University1.06-2.06vs Predicted
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16Bentley University0.02-0.17vs Predicted
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17University of New Hampshire0.76-3.03vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.12-5.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.97Bowdoin College1.960.0%1st Place
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7.14Tufts University2.700.1%1st Place
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10.27Salve Regina University1.880.0%1st Place
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6.99Boston College2.670.1%1st Place
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6.99Northeastern University2.680.1%1st Place
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7.31U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.1%1st Place
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7.43Brown University2.560.1%1st Place
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7.63Harvard University2.490.1%1st Place
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7.44Boston University2.550.1%1st Place
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7.36Roger Williams University2.640.1%1st Place
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11.97Maine Maritime Academy1.380.0%1st Place
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14.11University of Connecticut0.760.0%1st Place
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4.58Dartmouth College3.390.2%1st Place
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6.54Yale University2.760.1%1st Place
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12.94McGill University1.060.0%1st Place
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15.83Bentley University0.020.0%1st Place
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13.97University of New Hampshire0.760.0%1st Place
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12.53Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Philip Koch | 3.8% | 2.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 3.3% | 1.1% |
| Charles Proctor | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| James Goodson | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 5.7% | 3.1% | 1.3% |
| Ryan Morrison | 8.7% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Scott Goodrich | 8.6% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Bradley Brown | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Timothy Harding | 7.3% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Ben Lamont | 6.0% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Conor Fowler | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Eric Schwarm | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Andrew McHenry | 3.1% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 13.4% | 12.2% | 8.9% | 4.3% |
| William Kresic | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 14.3% | 20.6% | 17.1% |
| Hunter Johnstone | 15.8% | 15.4% | 13.4% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 9.1% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marly Isler | 9.0% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Maxime Fecteau | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 11.5% | 13.4% | 13.3% | 8.4% |
| Kristina Schneider | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 7.1% | 10.6% | 18.1% | 44.6% |
| Paige Fagan | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 15.2% | 18.0% | 16.2% |
| Karl Ryder | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 10.5% | 11.7% | 13.3% | 11.0% | 6.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.