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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northwestern University1.49+5.46vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin2.85+1.44vs Predicted
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3Northwestern University3.36-0.39vs Predicted
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4University of Notre Dame-0.25+6.84vs Predicted
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5University of Michigan0.35+4.48vs Predicted
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6University of Minnesota2.25-1.20vs Predicted
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7University of Minnesota1.75-1.30vs Predicted
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8University of Wisconsin2.72-4.25vs Predicted
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9University of Chicago0.49+0.12vs Predicted
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11University of Notre Dame1.25-3.76vs Predicted
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12Northern Michigan University-0.44-0.73vs Predicted
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13Michigan Technological University-0.26-2.14vs Predicted
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15University of Illinois-0.75-3.28vs Predicted
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17Northwestern University0.96-9.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.46Northwestern University1.490.0%1st Place
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3.44University of Wisconsin2.850.2%1st Place
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2.61Northwestern University3.360.3%1st Place
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10.84University of Notre Dame-0.250.0%1st Place
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9.48University of Michigan0.350.0%1st Place
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4.8University of Minnesota2.250.1%1st Place
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5.7University of Minnesota1.750.1%1st Place
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3.75University of Wisconsin2.720.2%1st Place
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9.12University of Chicago0.490.0%1st Place
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7.24University of Notre Dame1.250.0%1st Place
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11.27Northern Michigan University-0.440.0%1st Place
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10.86Michigan Technological University-0.260.0%1st Place
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11.72University of Illinois-0.750.0%1st Place
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7.72Northwestern University0.960.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Wien | 4.4% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 12.0% | 14.5% | 12.2% | 9.4% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Fox | 18.6% | 18.6% | 20.0% | 15.8% | 11.5% | 7.5% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tod Reynolds | 32.1% | 25.0% | 16.3% | 12.4% | 8.2% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John O'Brien | 0.3% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 10.6% | 11.6% | 18.0% | 18.9% | 15.2% |
| Alex Bogatko | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 12.6% | 13.6% | 12.7% | 11.7% | 5.3% |
| Matthew Thompson | 10.5% | 10.0% | 12.0% | 15.7% | 13.0% | 12.7% | 11.2% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Allison Prange | 6.3% | 7.8% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 12.5% | 14.1% | 13.1% | 11.1% | 7.6% | 4.7% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Brendan Boylan | 16.3% | 18.6% | 15.4% | 15.4% | 13.1% | 9.1% | 6.1% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anna Scott | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 10.1% | 12.6% | 15.1% | 14.0% | 11.4% | 7.4% | 4.0% |
| Nathaniel Walden | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 11.4% | 13.5% | 12.0% | 10.2% | 6.8% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 0.5% |
| Caleb Kiser | 0.2% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 11.3% | 15.0% | 20.5% | 22.9% |
| Timothy McElreath | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 15.0% | 15.3% | 17.7% | 16.9% |
| Matt Kopecki | 0.9% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 14.9% | 17.9% | 34.2% |
| Nicholas Campbell | 2.4% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 12.4% | 13.2% | 12.3% | 10.5% | 5.8% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.