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📊 Prediction Accuracy
70.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University1.60+3.46vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.14+1.69vs Predicted
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3Harvard University1.62+1.48vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island1.05+1.60vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.53-0.51vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont-0.02+1.86vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston1.81-3.09vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College0.73-1.69vs Predicted
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9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.13-1.20vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.68-3.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.46Roger Williams University1.6012.7%1st Place
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3.69Brown University2.1420.2%1st Place
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4.48Harvard University1.6213.7%1st Place
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5.6University of Rhode Island1.057.5%1st Place
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4.49Tufts University1.5312.6%1st Place
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7.86University of Vermont-0.022.5%1st Place
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3.91College of Charleston1.8116.0%1st Place
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6.31Bowdoin College0.735.7%1st Place
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7.8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.133.1%1st Place
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6.4Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.686.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Jack Roman | 12.7% | 13.5% | 14.8% | 12.2% | 12.2% | 11.0% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 5.0% | 0.9% |
Tyler Lamm | 20.2% | 17.6% | 14.3% | 13.4% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 7.5% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
Kate Danielson | 13.7% | 12.6% | 13.2% | 12.7% | 11.8% | 11.8% | 10.9% | 8.2% | 4.0% | 1.1% |
Olin Guck | 7.5% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 11.7% | 13.9% | 12.2% | 10.6% | 5.3% |
Devon Owen | 12.6% | 12.8% | 12.8% | 13.5% | 13.0% | 12.4% | 10.8% | 7.2% | 3.3% | 1.6% |
William Denker | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 13.1% | 21.1% | 34.8% |
Bella Shakespeare | 16.0% | 17.7% | 13.7% | 14.8% | 13.1% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 4.9% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
Shea McGrath | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 11.5% | 12.1% | 15.2% | 15.8% | 9.7% |
Robert Finora | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 11.8% | 21.2% | 33.7% |
Sophia Woodbury | 6.0% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 12.0% | 15.5% | 15.4% | 12.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.