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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.6
Avg Position Diff
4
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hamilton College0.59+1.09vs Predicted
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2SUNY Maritime College1.07-0.27vs Predicted
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3Webb Institute-0.51+0.05vs Predicted
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4SUNY Stony Brook-0.67-0.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.09Hamilton College0.5931.6%1st Place
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1.73SUNY Maritime College1.0747.8%1st Place
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3.05Webb Institute-0.5110.8%1st Place
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3.12SUNY Stony Brook-0.6710.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alan Becker | 31.6% | 36.8% | 22.8% | 8.9% |
| Noah Kuzloski | 47.8% | 34.6% | 14.4% | 3.2% |
| Giovanni Perrotti | 10.8% | 15.0% | 32.4% | 41.9% |
| Gerrit Bittmann | 10.0% | 13.6% | 30.4% | 46.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.