← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Tufts University2.70+6.17vs Predicted
-
2Roger Williams University2.64+5.36vs Predicted
-
3Dartmouth College3.39+1.80vs Predicted
-
4Salve Regina University1.88+5.94vs Predicted
-
5Boston College2.67+2.07vs Predicted
-
6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60+1.35vs Predicted
-
7University of Connecticut0.76+6.86vs Predicted
-
8Brown University2.56-0.61vs Predicted
-
9Northeastern University2.68-2.05vs Predicted
-
10Yale University2.76-3.05vs Predicted
-
11Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.12+1.80vs Predicted
-
12University of New Hampshire0.76+2.13vs Predicted
-
13Harvard University2.49-5.40vs Predicted
-
14Bowdoin College1.96-4.50vs Predicted
-
15Boston University2.55-7.51vs Predicted
-
16McGill University1.06-2.94vs Predicted
-
17Maine Maritime Academy1.38-5.03vs Predicted
-
18Bentley University0.02-2.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.17Tufts University2.700.1%1st Place
-
7.36Roger Williams University2.640.1%1st Place
-
4.8Dartmouth College3.390.1%1st Place
-
9.94Salve Regina University1.880.0%1st Place
-
7.07Boston College2.670.1%1st Place
-
7.35U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.1%1st Place
-
13.86University of Connecticut0.760.0%1st Place
-
7.39Brown University2.560.1%1st Place
-
6.95Northeastern University2.680.1%1st Place
-
6.95Yale University2.760.1%1st Place
-
12.8Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.120.0%1st Place
-
14.13University of New Hampshire0.760.0%1st Place
-
7.6Harvard University2.490.1%1st Place
-
9.5Bowdoin College1.960.0%1st Place
-
7.49Boston University2.550.1%1st Place
-
13.06McGill University1.060.0%1st Place
-
11.97Maine Maritime Academy1.380.0%1st Place
-
15.62Bentley University0.020.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Proctor | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Eric Schwarm | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Hunter Johnstone | 14.7% | 14.8% | 13.3% | 11.4% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Goodson | 3.9% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 3.0% | 0.9% |
| Ryan Morrison | 8.2% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Bradley Brown | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| William Kresic | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 12.1% | 14.8% | 18.6% | 15.2% |
| Timothy Harding | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Scott Goodrich | 6.8% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Marly Isler | 8.7% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Karl Ryder | 2.4% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 13.6% | 13.4% | 8.2% |
| Paige Fagan | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 10.6% | 12.6% | 18.6% | 18.4% |
| Ben Lamont | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 0.0% | 0.3% |
| Philip Koch | 3.9% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 0.8% |
| Conor Fowler | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Maxime Fecteau | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 10.1% | 11.7% | 13.7% | 14.1% | 8.5% |
| Andrew McHenry | 2.6% | 1.2% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 12.3% | 9.7% | 3.9% |
| Kristina Schneider | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 7.6% | 11.8% | 16.8% | 42.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.