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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
4
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Stony Brook-0.60+2.09vs Predicted
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2University of Notre Dame0.49-0.13vs Predicted
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3Webb Institute-0.40-0.32vs Predicted
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4SUNY Maritime College-0.04-1.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.09SUNY Stony Brook-0.6011.7%1st Place
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1.87University of Notre Dame0.4945.3%1st Place
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2.68Webb Institute-0.4018.5%1st Place
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2.36SUNY Maritime College-0.0424.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
---|---|---|---|---|
Rose von Eckartsberg | 11.7% | 15.8% | 24.4% | 48.2% |
Ethan Stone | 45.3% | 29.4% | 18.2% | 7.0% |
Jack Prior | 18.5% | 23.3% | 29.6% | 28.6% |
Thomas Roeber | 24.6% | 31.5% | 27.8% | 16.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.