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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.10+7.98vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.65+2.05vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania3.51+1.41vs Predicted
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4Boston University3.70-0.22vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.56+2.14vs Predicted
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6Harvard University1.48+5.10vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University2.08+1.91vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University1.96+1.22vs Predicted
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9Brown University3.03-3.39vs Predicted
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10Yale University1.19+2.22vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.83-1.06vs Predicted
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12McGill University0.93+1.26vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.23-1.21vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University1.03-1.60vs Predicted
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15University of Connecticut1.96-5.72vs Predicted
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16University of New Hampshire0.38-1.33vs Predicted
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17Bentley University0.12-1.69vs Predicted
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18Maine Maritime Academy2.03-9.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.98Dartmouth College2.100.0%1st Place
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4.05Tufts University3.650.2%1st Place
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4.41University of Pennsylvania3.510.2%1st Place
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3.78Boston University3.700.2%1st Place
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7.14Bowdoin College2.560.1%1st Place
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11.1Harvard University1.480.0%1st Place
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8.91Salve Regina University2.080.0%1st Place
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9.22Roger Williams University1.960.0%1st Place
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5.61Brown University3.030.1%1st Place
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12.22Yale University1.190.0%1st Place
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9.94U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.830.0%1st Place
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13.26McGill University0.930.0%1st Place
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11.79Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.230.0%1st Place
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12.4Northeastern University1.030.0%1st Place
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9.28University of Connecticut1.960.0%1st Place
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14.67University of New Hampshire0.380.0%1st Place
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15.31Bentley University0.120.0%1st Place
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8.93Maine Maritime Academy2.030.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Warren (Trace) Smith | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Duncan Swain | 15.2% | 17.8% | 14.9% | 15.9% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maximiliano Agnese | 15.5% | 14.5% | 13.3% | 12.9% | 12.0% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Astwood | 21.1% | 18.0% | 14.7% | 13.1% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Courtney Koos | 5.5% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Ames Lyman | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 2.8% |
| Shannon Killian | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Alexander Rudkin | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| James Barry | 9.7% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Feldman | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 5.9% |
| Andrew Britton | 3.9% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 1.0% |
| Matt Palardy | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 11.1% | 12.5% | 16.8% | 10.3% |
| Robert Queisser | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 4.2% |
| Colin Henderson | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 12.9% | 11.0% | 7.3% |
| Michael Rottier | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Daniel BerryPBS | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 10.1% | 12.1% | 16.7% | 27.9% |
| Francisco Salas | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 10.3% | 18.3% | 38.0% |
| Hollister Poole | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 0.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.