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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.6
Avg Position Diff
4
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Notre Dame0.49+0.89vs Predicted
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2SUNY Maritime College-0.04+0.38vs Predicted
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3Webb Institute-0.40-0.36vs Predicted
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4SUNY Stony Brook-0.60-0.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.89University of Notre Dame0.4944.6%1st Place
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2.38SUNY Maritime College-0.0424.9%1st Place
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2.64Webb Institute-0.4018.6%1st Place
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3.1SUNY Stony Brook-0.6011.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethan Stone | 44.6% | 29.6% | 18.4% | 7.3% |
| Thomas Roeber | 24.9% | 29.8% | 27.9% | 17.4% |
| Jack Prior | 18.6% | 24.6% | 30.7% | 26.1% |
| Rose von Eckartsberg | 11.9% | 15.8% | 23.1% | 49.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.