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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
4
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Notre Dame0.49+0.89vs Predicted
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2Webb Institute-0.40+0.71vs Predicted
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3SUNY Maritime College-0.04-0.68vs Predicted
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4SUNY Stony Brook-0.60-0.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.89University of Notre Dame0.4942.6%1st Place
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2.71Webb Institute-0.4018.1%1st Place
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2.32SUNY Maritime College-0.0427.5%1st Place
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3.08SUNY Stony Brook-0.6011.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethan Stone | 42.6% | 32.6% | 17.8% | 7.0% |
| Jack Prior | 18.1% | 21.6% | 31.8% | 28.5% |
| Thomas Roeber | 27.5% | 29.2% | 27.1% | 16.2% |
| Rose von Eckartsberg | 11.8% | 16.6% | 23.4% | 48.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.