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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.6
Avg Position Diff
4
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Notre Dame0.49+0.90vs Predicted
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2SUNY Maritime College-0.04+0.34vs Predicted
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3Webb Institute-0.40-0.33vs Predicted
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4SUNY Stony Brook-0.60-0.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.9University of Notre Dame0.4942.9%1st Place
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2.34SUNY Maritime College-0.0426.2%1st Place
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2.67Webb Institute-0.4019.4%1st Place
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3.09SUNY Stony Brook-0.6011.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethan Stone | 42.9% | 32.0% | 17.7% | 7.4% |
| Thomas Roeber | 26.2% | 30.2% | 26.8% | 16.9% |
| Jack Prior | 19.4% | 22.3% | 30.4% | 27.9% |
| Rose von Eckartsberg | 11.5% | 15.5% | 25.1% | 47.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.