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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania3.51+3.19vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.03+3.49vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.65+0.74vs Predicted
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4University of Connecticut1.96+4.97vs Predicted
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5Maine Maritime Academy2.03+3.75vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College1.14+6.13vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University1.96+2.07vs Predicted
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8Harvard University1.48+2.87vs Predicted
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9Yale University1.19+2.96vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.83-0.21vs Predicted
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11Boston University3.13-5.83vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College2.10-3.15vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University1.03-0.61vs Predicted
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14University of New Hampshire1.35-2.97vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University2.08-6.48vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.23-4.08vs Predicted
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17McGill University0.93-4.00vs Predicted
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18Bentley University0.12-2.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.19University of Pennsylvania3.510.2%1st Place
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5.49Brown University3.030.1%1st Place
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3.74Tufts University3.650.2%1st Place
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8.97University of Connecticut1.960.0%1st Place
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8.75Maine Maritime Academy2.030.0%1st Place
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12.13Bowdoin College1.140.0%1st Place
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9.07Roger Williams University1.960.0%1st Place
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10.87Harvard University1.480.0%1st Place
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11.96Yale University1.190.0%1st Place
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9.79U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.830.0%1st Place
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5.17Boston University3.130.1%1st Place
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8.85Dartmouth College2.100.0%1st Place
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12.39Northeastern University1.030.0%1st Place
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11.03University of New Hampshire1.350.0%1st Place
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8.52Salve Regina University2.080.0%1st Place
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11.92Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.230.0%1st Place
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13.0McGill University0.930.0%1st Place
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15.15Bentley University0.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maximiliano Agnese | 17.7% | 16.3% | 14.4% | 12.6% | 10.6% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Barry | 9.6% | 10.2% | 12.6% | 11.4% | 11.5% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Duncan Swain | 20.7% | 17.6% | 15.3% | 14.7% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Rottier | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 1.7% |
| Hollister Poole | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.0% |
| Benjamin Mende | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 11.7% | 8.1% |
| Alexander Rudkin | 3.7% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 1.0% |
| Ames Lyman | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 6.3% | 3.2% |
| William Feldman | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 11.6% | 9.7% | 6.0% |
| Andrew Britton | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 1.7% |
| Brendan Cook | 12.5% | 13.3% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Warren (Trace) Smith | 3.8% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| Colin Henderson | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 12.5% | 9.9% |
| William Dykes | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 4.9% |
| Shannon Killian | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Robert Queisser | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 7.6% |
| Matt Palardy | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 11.6% | 15.0% | 12.6% |
| Francisco Salas | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 7.4% | 10.0% | 14.4% | 41.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.