← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Tufts University3.65+2.86vs Predicted
-
2University of Pennsylvania3.51+2.13vs Predicted
-
3Maine Maritime Academy2.03+6.02vs Predicted
-
4Brown University3.03+1.26vs Predicted
-
5Northeastern University1.03+7.37vs Predicted
-
6U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.83+3.53vs Predicted
-
7Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.23+4.80vs Predicted
-
8Bentley University0.12+7.14vs Predicted
-
9Harvard University1.48+1.97vs Predicted
-
10Roger Williams University1.96-0.69vs Predicted
-
11Yale University1.19+1.06vs Predicted
-
12Bowdoin College1.14+0.46vs Predicted
-
13Boston University3.13-8.04vs Predicted
-
14Dartmouth College2.10-5.75vs Predicted
-
15Salve Regina University2.08-6.44vs Predicted
-
16University of Connecticut1.96-6.89vs Predicted
-
17University of New Hampshire1.35-5.53vs Predicted
-
18McGill University0.93-5.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.86Tufts University3.650.2%1st Place
-
4.13University of Pennsylvania3.510.2%1st Place
-
9.02Maine Maritime Academy2.030.0%1st Place
-
5.26Brown University3.030.1%1st Place
-
12.37Northeastern University1.030.0%1st Place
-
9.53U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.830.0%1st Place
-
11.8Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.230.0%1st Place
-
15.14Bentley University0.120.0%1st Place
-
10.97Harvard University1.480.0%1st Place
-
9.31Roger Williams University1.960.0%1st Place
-
12.06Yale University1.190.0%1st Place
-
12.46Bowdoin College1.140.0%1st Place
-
4.96Boston University3.130.1%1st Place
-
8.25Dartmouth College2.100.1%1st Place
-
8.56Salve Regina University2.080.0%1st Place
-
9.11University of Connecticut1.960.0%1st Place
-
11.47University of New Hampshire1.350.0%1st Place
-
12.72McGill University0.930.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duncan Swain | 20.5% | 16.8% | 16.2% | 12.6% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maximiliano Agnese | 15.1% | 17.8% | 14.4% | 14.3% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hollister Poole | 3.5% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| James Barry | 12.1% | 11.0% | 13.2% | 10.6% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Colin Henderson | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 11.7% | 10.5% | 10.9% |
| Andrew Britton | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 1.6% |
| Robert Queisser | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 6.9% |
| Francisco Salas | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 13.9% | 43.0% |
| Ames Lyman | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 3.4% |
| Alexander Rudkin | 4.8% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| William Feldman | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 11.9% | 7.0% |
| Benjamin Mende | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 13.1% | 9.5% |
| Brendan Cook | 13.5% | 13.4% | 11.0% | 13.2% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Warren (Trace) Smith | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Shannon Killian | 3.9% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 1.0% | 0.6% |
| Michael Rottier | 3.1% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 0.5% |
| William Dykes | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 4.4% |
| Matt Palardy | 2.2% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 13.9% | 10.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.