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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University3.13+4.21vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University1.96+7.28vs Predicted
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3Maine Maritime Academy2.03+5.98vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.03+1.29vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.10+3.51vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania3.51-1.94vs Predicted
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7University of Connecticut1.96+1.98vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.03+4.39vs Predicted
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9University of New Hampshire1.35+2.37vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University2.08-1.22vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College1.14+1.22vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.23+0.16vs Predicted
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13Harvard University1.48-2.32vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.83-4.72vs Predicted
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15Tufts University3.65-11.25vs Predicted
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16Yale University1.19-4.04vs Predicted
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17Bentley University0.12-1.62vs Predicted
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18McGill University0.93-5.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.21Boston University3.130.1%1st Place
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9.28Roger Williams University1.960.0%1st Place
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8.98Maine Maritime Academy2.030.0%1st Place
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5.29Brown University3.030.1%1st Place
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8.51Dartmouth College2.100.0%1st Place
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4.06University of Pennsylvania3.510.2%1st Place
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8.98University of Connecticut1.960.0%1st Place
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12.39Northeastern University1.030.0%1st Place
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11.37University of New Hampshire1.350.0%1st Place
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8.78Salve Regina University2.080.0%1st Place
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12.22Bowdoin College1.140.0%1st Place
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12.16Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.230.0%1st Place
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10.68Harvard University1.480.0%1st Place
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9.28U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.830.0%1st Place
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3.75Tufts University3.650.2%1st Place
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11.96Yale University1.190.0%1st Place
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15.38Bentley University0.120.0%1st Place
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12.74McGill University0.930.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brendan Cook | 12.3% | 12.0% | 11.3% | 12.1% | 10.9% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Rudkin | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Hollister Poole | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.7% |
| James Barry | 11.7% | 12.7% | 11.5% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Warren (Trace) Smith | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.9% |
| Maximiliano Agnese | 17.3% | 17.4% | 16.5% | 10.6% | 11.3% | 9.3% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Rottier | 4.3% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 0.7% |
| Colin Henderson | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 11.3% | 10.6% | 12.9% | 9.6% |
| William Dykes | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 4.2% |
| Shannon Killian | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Benjamin Mende | 2.7% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 11.5% | 7.9% |
| Robert Queisser | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 7.8% |
| Ames Lyman | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 2.7% |
| Andrew Britton | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 1.4% |
| Duncan Swain | 20.6% | 18.7% | 15.5% | 12.0% | 11.9% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Feldman | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 8.1% |
| Francisco Salas | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 14.7% | 44.4% |
| Matt Palardy | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 13.6% | 10.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.