← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Pennsylvania3.51+3.18vs Predicted
-
2Brown University3.03+3.52vs Predicted
-
3Boston University3.13+2.09vs Predicted
-
4Tufts University3.65-0.35vs Predicted
-
5University of New Hampshire1.35+6.25vs Predicted
-
6Bowdoin College1.14+6.20vs Predicted
-
7Roger Williams University1.96+2.02vs Predicted
-
8U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.83+1.50vs Predicted
-
9Maine Maritime Academy2.03-0.25vs Predicted
-
10Harvard University1.48+1.06vs Predicted
-
11Dartmouth College2.10-2.31vs Predicted
-
12Northeastern University1.03+0.85vs Predicted
-
13Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.23-1.31vs Predicted
-
14Bentley University0.12+1.04vs Predicted
-
15University of Connecticut1.96-6.01vs Predicted
-
16McGill University0.93-3.01vs Predicted
-
17Yale University1.19-4.91vs Predicted
-
18Salve Regina University2.08-9.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.18University of Pennsylvania3.510.2%1st Place
-
5.52Brown University3.030.1%1st Place
-
5.09Boston University3.130.1%1st Place
-
3.65Tufts University3.650.2%1st Place
-
11.25University of New Hampshire1.350.0%1st Place
-
12.2Bowdoin College1.140.0%1st Place
-
9.02Roger Williams University1.960.0%1st Place
-
9.5U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.830.0%1st Place
-
8.75Maine Maritime Academy2.030.0%1st Place
-
11.06Harvard University1.480.0%1st Place
-
8.69Dartmouth College2.100.0%1st Place
-
12.85Northeastern University1.030.0%1st Place
-
11.69Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.230.0%1st Place
-
15.04Bentley University0.120.0%1st Place
-
8.99University of Connecticut1.960.0%1st Place
-
12.99McGill University0.930.0%1st Place
-
12.09Yale University1.190.0%1st Place
-
8.45Salve Regina University2.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maximiliano Agnese | 16.7% | 17.2% | 14.4% | 14.3% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Barry | 9.9% | 8.9% | 12.4% | 12.2% | 10.1% | 11.0% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Cook | 13.4% | 10.3% | 11.4% | 12.8% | 11.3% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Duncan Swain | 21.5% | 20.4% | 15.1% | 11.9% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Dykes | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 5.0% |
| Benjamin Mende | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 12.5% | 10.0% | 8.3% |
| Alexander Rudkin | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 1.1% |
| Andrew Britton | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 0.9% |
| Hollister Poole | 3.2% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Ames Lyman | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 3.8% |
| Warren (Trace) Smith | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
| Colin Henderson | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 13.4% | 12.3% |
| Robert Queisser | 2.4% | 1.5% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 6.4% |
| Francisco Salas | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 13.1% | 40.0% |
| Michael Rottier | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Matt Palardy | 1.3% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 14.7% | 12.6% |
| William Feldman | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 11.6% | 10.2% | 6.8% |
| Shannon Killian | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 1.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.