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📊 Prediction Accuracy
70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.14+2.57vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University1.60+2.42vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.53+1.52vs Predicted
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4Harvard University1.62+0.57vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston1.81-1.02vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College0.73+0.17vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island1.05-1.23vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.68-1.62vs Predicted
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9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.13-1.19vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont-0.02-2.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.57Brown University2.1419.7%1st Place
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4.42Roger Williams University1.6013.2%1st Place
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4.52Tufts University1.5313.0%1st Place
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4.57Harvard University1.6213.4%1st Place
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3.98College of Charleston1.8116.4%1st Place
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6.17Bowdoin College0.736.5%1st Place
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5.77University of Rhode Island1.057.3%1st Place
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6.38Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.685.5%1st Place
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7.81U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.132.5%1st Place
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7.82University of Vermont-0.022.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
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Tyler Lamm | 19.7% | 19.6% | 16.1% | 12.6% | 12.4% | 8.8% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
Jack Roman | 13.2% | 13.3% | 13.6% | 13.1% | 13.8% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 1.4% |
Devon Owen | 13.0% | 12.0% | 14.1% | 12.5% | 12.4% | 12.1% | 10.4% | 7.9% | 4.1% | 1.6% |
Kate Danielson | 13.4% | 13.5% | 10.3% | 13.5% | 11.6% | 11.9% | 11.4% | 8.8% | 4.3% | 1.2% |
Bella Shakespeare | 16.4% | 16.1% | 14.2% | 14.2% | 12.7% | 11.0% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
Shea McGrath | 6.5% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 13.0% | 14.1% | 15.1% | 9.2% |
Olin Guck | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 14.6% | 12.8% | 11.9% | 6.2% |
Sophia Woodbury | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 11.1% | 11.8% | 14.5% | 15.3% | 12.2% |
Robert Finora | 2.5% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 13.2% | 20.2% | 33.4% |
William Denker | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 12.8% | 20.4% | 33.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.