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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Penn State Behrend0.41+2.15vs Predicted
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2University of Toronto1.20+0.13vs Predicted
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3Syracuse University0.19+0.32vs Predicted
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4Rochester Institute of Technology0.49-1.03vs Predicted
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5University of Rochester-0.96+0.07vs Predicted
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6Penn State University-1.01-0.97vs Predicted
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7University of Pittsburgh-2.23-0.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.15Penn State Behrend0.4116.6%1st Place
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2.13University of Toronto1.2038.6%1st Place
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3.32Syracuse University0.1916.2%1st Place
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2.97Rochester Institute of Technology0.4919.4%1st Place
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5.07University of Rochester-0.964.0%1st Place
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5.03Penn State University-1.014.2%1st Place
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6.32University of Pittsburgh-2.231.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Anthony Farrar | 16.6% | 21.0% | 21.6% | 20.3% | 13.6% | 5.9% | 1.1% |
Antoine Vilain | 38.6% | 28.3% | 19.1% | 9.8% | 3.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
Alexa Whitman | 16.2% | 16.7% | 19.8% | 23.1% | 15.6% | 7.2% | 1.4% |
Cole Bender | 19.4% | 21.6% | 22.2% | 20.6% | 11.9% | 3.8% | 0.4% |
Kasym Qazi | 4.0% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 25.7% | 32.3% | 15.3% |
Nathan Mascia | 4.2% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 11.9% | 22.0% | 33.5% | 15.2% |
Michael Grychowski | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 4.2% | 7.8% | 16.7% | 66.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.