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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Rochester Institute of Technology0.49+1.97vs Predicted
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2University of Toronto1.20+0.18vs Predicted
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3University of Rochester-0.96+2.05vs Predicted
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4Penn State University-1.01+1.02vs Predicted
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5Penn State Behrend0.41-1.83vs Predicted
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6University of Pittsburgh-2.23+0.29vs Predicted
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7Syracuse University0.19-3.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.97Rochester Institute of Technology0.4919.6%1st Place
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2.18University of Toronto1.2038.4%1st Place
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5.05University of Rochester-0.964.3%1st Place
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5.02Penn State University-1.014.5%1st Place
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3.17Penn State Behrend0.4116.8%1st Place
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6.29University of Pittsburgh-2.231.1%1st Place
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3.32Syracuse University0.1915.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cole Bender | 19.6% | 22.9% | 21.3% | 19.4% | 11.9% | 4.7% | 0.4% |
| Antoine Vilain | 38.4% | 26.9% | 18.5% | 11.7% | 3.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Kasym Qazi | 4.3% | 4.8% | 7.8% | 11.2% | 23.8% | 32.6% | 15.5% |
| Nathan Mascia | 4.5% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 11.7% | 22.6% | 32.6% | 15.6% |
| Anthony Farrar | 16.8% | 20.2% | 21.3% | 20.0% | 15.2% | 5.8% | 0.7% |
| Michael Grychowski | 1.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 7.0% | 16.7% | 66.3% |
| Alexa Whitman | 15.6% | 17.2% | 20.9% | 22.3% | 15.8% | 6.7% | 1.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.