← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Penn State Behrend0.41+2.11vs Predicted
-
2Rochester Institute of Technology0.49+1.03vs Predicted
-
3University of Toronto1.20-0.84vs Predicted
-
4Syracuse University0.19-0.71vs Predicted
-
5University of Rochester-0.96+0.01vs Predicted
-
6Penn State University-1.01-0.96vs Predicted
-
7University of Pittsburgh-2.23-0.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.11Penn State Behrend0.4119.1%1st Place
-
3.03Rochester Institute of Technology0.4919.0%1st Place
-
2.16University of Toronto1.2038.1%1st Place
-
3.29Syracuse University0.1914.8%1st Place
-
5.01University of Rochester-0.963.6%1st Place
-
5.04Penn State University-1.014.2%1st Place
-
6.35University of Pittsburgh-2.231.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Farrar | 19.1% | 18.3% | 21.9% | 21.8% | 12.4% | 5.5% | 1.0% |
| Cole Bender | 19.0% | 21.4% | 21.6% | 19.7% | 13.1% | 4.7% | 0.5% |
| Antoine Vilain | 38.1% | 28.4% | 18.4% | 9.8% | 4.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Alexa Whitman | 14.8% | 19.4% | 19.7% | 22.7% | 15.5% | 7.1% | 0.8% |
| Kasym Qazi | 3.6% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 13.0% | 21.8% | 32.6% | 15.1% |
| Nathan Mascia | 4.2% | 4.9% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 24.9% | 32.9% | 14.8% |
| Michael Grychowski | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 8.0% | 16.4% | 67.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.