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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Rochester Institute of Technology0.49+2.02vs Predicted
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2University of Toronto1.20+0.17vs Predicted
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3Syracuse University0.19+0.42vs Predicted
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4University of Rochester-0.96+0.99vs Predicted
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5University of Pittsburgh-2.23+1.29vs Predicted
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6Penn State Behrend0.41-2.89vs Predicted
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7Penn State University-1.01-1.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.02Rochester Institute of Technology0.4919.5%1st Place
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2.17University of Toronto1.2038.8%1st Place
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3.42Syracuse University0.1914.3%1st Place
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4.99University of Rochester-0.964.4%1st Place
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6.29University of Pittsburgh-2.231.2%1st Place
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3.11Penn State Behrend0.4116.6%1st Place
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5.01Penn State University-1.015.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cole Bender | 19.5% | 21.2% | 21.6% | 19.6% | 12.6% | 5.0% | 0.5% |
| Antoine Vilain | 38.8% | 27.0% | 18.3% | 10.9% | 4.0% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Alexa Whitman | 14.3% | 16.6% | 20.6% | 21.6% | 16.9% | 8.4% | 1.6% |
| Kasym Qazi | 4.4% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 12.0% | 22.6% | 32.6% | 14.6% |
| Michael Grychowski | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 7.7% | 14.9% | 67.3% |
| Anthony Farrar | 16.6% | 21.8% | 21.7% | 20.2% | 14.1% | 4.9% | 0.7% |
| Nathan Mascia | 5.2% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 11.7% | 22.2% | 33.2% | 15.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.