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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Toronto1.20+1.18vs Predicted
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2Penn State Behrend0.41+1.18vs Predicted
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3Syracuse University0.19+0.36vs Predicted
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4University of Rochester-0.96+0.99vs Predicted
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5Rochester Institute of Technology0.49-2.01vs Predicted
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6Penn State University-1.01-1.05vs Predicted
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7University of Pittsburgh-2.23-0.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.18University of Toronto1.2037.0%1st Place
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3.18Penn State Behrend0.4117.2%1st Place
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3.36Syracuse University0.1915.2%1st Place
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4.99University of Rochester-0.964.0%1st Place
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2.99Rochester Institute of Technology0.4921.3%1st Place
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4.95Penn State University-1.014.2%1st Place
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6.34University of Pittsburgh-2.230.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antoine Vilain | 37.0% | 28.5% | 20.0% | 9.5% | 4.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Anthony Farrar | 17.2% | 18.6% | 21.3% | 21.3% | 15.2% | 5.6% | 0.7% |
| Alexa Whitman | 15.2% | 17.2% | 19.1% | 22.6% | 17.6% | 6.9% | 1.4% |
| Kasym Qazi | 4.0% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 11.9% | 21.8% | 32.8% | 15.0% |
| Cole Bender | 21.3% | 20.1% | 20.4% | 19.9% | 13.2% | 4.7% | 0.4% |
| Nathan Mascia | 4.2% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 11.8% | 21.1% | 32.0% | 15.2% |
| Michael Grychowski | 0.9% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 7.2% | 17.2% | 67.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.