← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Wisconsin2.91+1.55vs Predicted
-
2University of Minnesota2.21+1.66vs Predicted
-
3University of Minnesota1.77+1.72vs Predicted
-
4Northwestern University0.35+4.46vs Predicted
-
5University of Michigan1.32+0.99vs Predicted
-
6University of Wisconsin1.88-1.37vs Predicted
-
7Northwestern University0.84-0.15vs Predicted
-
8Northwestern University0.29+0.53vs Predicted
-
9University of Notre Dame0.81-1.71vs Predicted
-
10University of Chicago0.60-2.13vs Predicted
-
11Northern Michigan University-1.17+0.88vs Predicted
-
13Michigan Technological University-0.44-2.55vs Predicted
-
14University of Illinois-1.92-1.16vs Predicted
-
15University of Notre Dame-0.01-5.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.55University of Wisconsin2.910.4%1st Place
-
3.66University of Minnesota2.210.2%1st Place
-
4.72University of Minnesota1.770.1%1st Place
-
8.46Northwestern University0.350.0%1st Place
-
5.99University of Michigan1.320.1%1st Place
-
4.63University of Wisconsin1.880.1%1st Place
-
6.85Northwestern University0.840.0%1st Place
-
8.53Northwestern University0.290.0%1st Place
-
7.29University of Notre Dame0.810.0%1st Place
-
7.87University of Chicago0.600.0%1st Place
-
11.88Northern Michigan University-1.170.0%1st Place
-
10.45Michigan Technological University-0.440.0%1st Place
-
12.84University of Illinois-1.920.0%1st Place
-
9.26University of Notre Dame-0.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeremy McMahon | 35.8% | 24.6% | 14.4% | 11.6% | 7.0% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Braden Solum | 17.2% | 18.8% | 16.7% | 15.5% | 12.7% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Natalie Sinn | 10.5% | 13.0% | 14.0% | 12.8% | 13.3% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 4.8% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| John Bere | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 10.6% | 14.4% | 13.2% | 11.6% | 4.5% | 1.6% |
| Rachel Barch | 5.7% | 7.3% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 12.6% | 11.2% | 8.9% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Phillip Morley | 11.1% | 11.7% | 15.1% | 13.5% | 13.4% | 12.0% | 9.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Lubben | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 11.7% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 7.1% | 4.1% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Sarah Hughes | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 13.3% | 11.5% | 12.5% | 7.7% | 1.3% |
| Elizabeth Werley | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 12.0% | 11.5% | 14.1% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Paul Kaplan | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 13.2% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 3.6% | 0.4% |
| Andrew Becker | 0.2% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 9.0% | 12.9% | 33.6% | 25.3% |
| Jake Mohan | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 10.6% | 14.8% | 19.0% | 18.1% | 9.0% |
| Haley Johnson | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 8.3% | 18.3% | 59.3% |
| Kevin Condit | 1.3% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 12.3% | 16.0% | 15.1% | 10.2% | 2.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.