Race 5C

87th-boston-dinghy-club-challenge-cup

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Tyler Lamm 19.6% 18.0% 17.0% 14.0% 11.8% 9.0% 5.1% 3.8% 1.7% 0.2%
Bella Shakespeare 17.1% 16.7% 15.5% 12.8% 12.1% 10.7% 7.4% 4.7% 2.6% 0.4%
Jack Roman 15.0% 12.8% 12.5% 13.8% 11.8% 11.4% 10.3% 6.9% 4.3% 1.1%
Devon Owen 11.8% 12.0% 13.4% 12.8% 13.0% 12.4% 10.5% 8.3% 4.5% 1.3%
Sophia Woodbury 4.8% 5.7% 6.2% 7.4% 7.9% 10.6% 14.3% 16.9% 16.4% 10.0%
Shea McGrath 5.7% 6.9% 7.7% 7.5% 9.2% 10.3% 12.9% 15.1% 15.0% 9.6%
Kate Danielson 13.2% 12.6% 12.6% 13.0% 12.6% 11.7% 11.2% 6.8% 4.6% 1.8%
Olin Guck 8.1% 8.2% 9.1% 9.2% 11.7% 11.4% 13.1% 12.3% 10.5% 6.3%
Robert Finora 2.3% 3.9% 2.9% 4.5% 5.0% 5.4% 7.8% 12.7% 19.8% 35.7%
William Denker 2.5% 3.1% 3.1% 4.9% 5.1% 7.1% 7.3% 12.8% 20.5% 33.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.