← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Toronto-0.13+2.13vs Predicted
-
2Penn State University1.13-0.24vs Predicted
-
3Rochester Institute of Technology-0.48+0.71vs Predicted
-
4Penn State Behrend-0.45-0.39vs Predicted
-
5University of Rochester-2.07+0.77vs Predicted
-
6University of Pittsburgh-2.09-0.27vs Predicted
-
7Syracuse University-0.99-2.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.13University of Toronto-0.1314.9%1st Place
-
1.76Penn State University1.1351.8%1st Place
-
3.71Rochester Institute of Technology-0.4810.6%1st Place
-
3.61Penn State Behrend-0.4510.5%1st Place
-
5.77University of Rochester-2.071.7%1st Place
-
5.73University of Pittsburgh-2.092.6%1st Place
-
4.28Syracuse University-0.997.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yunus Akcor | 14.9% | 23.4% | 22.8% | 19.6% | 12.0% | 6.2% | 1.1% |
| Barrett Lhamon | 51.8% | 28.2% | 13.7% | 4.6% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ashley Franklin | 10.6% | 15.2% | 20.0% | 19.2% | 19.9% | 11.9% | 3.1% |
| Bryce Nill | 10.5% | 16.4% | 20.0% | 21.8% | 19.0% | 9.7% | 2.5% |
| Ingemar Hentschel | 1.7% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 11.8% | 27.2% | 42.9% |
| Kelly Katilius | 2.6% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 12.2% | 26.8% | 42.4% |
| Collin Ross | 7.8% | 9.7% | 13.4% | 19.6% | 23.5% | 17.9% | 8.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.