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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University4.71+4.38vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.88+6.58vs Predicted
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3Tufts University4.08+4.70vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University3.33+6.46vs Predicted
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5Harvard University3.05+6.61vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont3.51+3.98vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College3.78+1.69vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College3.18+3.18vs Predicted
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9Boston University3.03+2.92vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston3.64-0.36vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90-2.57vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland3.96-3.61vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University2.98-1.10vs Predicted
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14Yale University4.55-8.38vs Predicted
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15Brown University4.30-8.41vs Predicted
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16University of Wisconsin2.85-3.34vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island3.05-5.06vs Predicted
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18Salve Regina University3.36-7.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.38Roger Williams University4.710.1%1st Place
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8.58Boston College3.880.1%1st Place
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7.7Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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10.46Georgetown University3.330.0%1st Place
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11.61Harvard University3.050.0%1st Place
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9.98University of Vermont3.510.0%1st Place
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8.69Connecticut College3.780.1%1st Place
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11.18Dartmouth College3.180.0%1st Place
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11.92Boston University3.030.0%1st Place
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9.64College of Charleston3.640.1%1st Place
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8.43Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.1%1st Place
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8.39St. Mary's College of Maryland3.960.1%1st Place
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11.9Roger Williams University2.980.0%1st Place
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5.62Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
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6.59Brown University4.300.1%1st Place
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12.66University of Wisconsin2.850.0%1st Place
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11.94University of Rhode Island3.050.0%1st Place
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10.32Salve Regina University3.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alec Anderson | 14.0% | 14.3% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Alex Cook | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.0% |
| William Haeger | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Daniel Eichler | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 6.3% |
| Michael Drumm | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 11.0% | 10.9% |
| OJ O'Connell | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 4.9% |
| Kevin Martland | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 1.9% |
| John Renehan | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 7.7% |
| Ian Towill | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 11.3% | 11.0% |
| Mac Mace | 5.8% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 2.7% |
| Andrew Sommer | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.8% |
| Victor Diaz De Leon | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.5% |
| Stewart Draheim | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 13.9% |
| Graham Landy | 12.0% | 14.5% | 11.1% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Tommy Fink | 9.7% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Andrew Fox | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 11.5% | 17.4% |
| Caleb Armstrong | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 13.1% |
| Kyle Carney | 4.0% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.