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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University4.55+5.04vs Predicted
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2Brown University4.30+4.89vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.96+5.22vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University3.33+6.49vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College3.78+3.74vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University4.71-0.81vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University3.36+3.51vs Predicted
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8Boston College3.88+0.28vs Predicted
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9Tufts University4.08-1.54vs Predicted
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10Boston University3.03+2.11vs Predicted
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11University of Wisconsin2.85+1.63vs Predicted
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12Harvard University3.05+0.14vs Predicted
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13College of Charleston3.64-3.75vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90-5.97vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island3.05-3.23vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont3.51-6.05vs Predicted
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17Roger Williams University2.98-4.82vs Predicted
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18Dartmouth College3.18-6.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.04Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
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6.89Brown University4.300.1%1st Place
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8.22St. Mary's College of Maryland3.960.1%1st Place
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10.49Georgetown University3.330.0%1st Place
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8.74Connecticut College3.780.1%1st Place
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5.19Roger Williams University4.710.1%1st Place
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10.51Salve Regina University3.360.0%1st Place
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8.28Boston College3.880.1%1st Place
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7.46Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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12.11Boston University3.030.0%1st Place
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12.63University of Wisconsin2.850.0%1st Place
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12.14Harvard University3.050.0%1st Place
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9.25College of Charleston3.640.1%1st Place
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8.03Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.1%1st Place
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11.77University of Rhode Island3.050.0%1st Place
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9.95University of Vermont3.510.0%1st Place
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12.18Roger Williams University2.980.0%1st Place
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11.12Dartmouth College3.180.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Graham Landy | 11.3% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Tommy Fink | 7.8% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Victor Diaz De Leon | 6.7% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 1.0% |
| Daniel Eichler | 3.9% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 6.1% |
| Kevin Martland | 6.0% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 2.4% |
| Alec Anderson | 15.0% | 12.8% | 11.8% | 11.7% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Carney | 3.5% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.6% |
| Alex Cook | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.3% |
| William Haeger | 7.0% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.5% |
| Ian Towill | 3.6% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 12.3% |
| Andrew Fox | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 10.4% | 12.1% | 16.9% |
| Michael Drumm | 2.1% | 2.2% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 10.0% | 11.0% | 14.0% |
| Mac Mace | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 2.1% |
| Andrew Sommer | 6.0% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| Caleb Armstrong | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 10.6% |
| OJ O'Connell | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.4% |
| Stewart Draheim | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 11.3% | 13.9% |
| John Renehan | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 7.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.