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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Ohio State University0.65+2.06vs Predicted
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2Miami University0.38+1.45vs Predicted
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3Case Western Reserve University0.66+0.13vs Predicted
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4Michigan State University-0.44+0.86vs Predicted
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5University of Toledo-0.17-0.55vs Predicted
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6Hope College-1.63+1.02vs Predicted
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7Ohio University-1.95+0.44vs Predicted
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8Ohio State University0.09-3.54vs Predicted
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9Michigan Technological University-1.71-1.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.06Ohio State University0.6524.5%1st Place
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3.45Miami University0.3818.3%1st Place
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3.13Case Western Reserve University0.6621.6%1st Place
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4.86Michigan State University-0.448.5%1st Place
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4.45University of Toledo-0.1710.2%1st Place
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7.02Hope College-1.632.3%1st Place
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7.44Ohio University-1.951.8%1st Place
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4.46Ohio State University0.0910.2%1st Place
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7.11Michigan Technological University-1.712.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mason Shaw | 24.5% | 18.9% | 19.7% | 14.7% | 11.8% | 6.4% | 3.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Nicholas Barillari | 18.3% | 18.8% | 16.9% | 17.1% | 12.0% | 10.2% | 4.9% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Andrew Liu | 21.6% | 22.1% | 17.8% | 15.2% | 12.3% | 6.8% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Ryan Dodge | 8.5% | 9.0% | 11.0% | 11.9% | 15.0% | 19.9% | 14.8% | 8.0% | 1.9% |
| Mansvi Soni | 10.2% | 12.3% | 12.4% | 14.9% | 15.6% | 15.8% | 10.9% | 7.0% | 1.0% |
| Kent Colbrunn | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 9.4% | 19.8% | 25.4% | 26.4% |
| Kieran Boetger | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 8.1% | 13.9% | 24.1% | 39.3% |
| Emily Williams | 10.2% | 11.2% | 13.7% | 13.4% | 17.0% | 15.6% | 12.1% | 5.8% | 1.1% |
| Avie Krauss | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 17.4% | 26.7% | 29.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.