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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.18+10.38vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island3.05+10.09vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.88+5.60vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland3.96+3.91vs Predicted
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5Yale University4.55+0.75vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.98+6.09vs Predicted
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7Harvard University3.05+4.77vs Predicted
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8Tufts University4.08-0.46vs Predicted
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9Brown University4.30-2.43vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University4.71-4.61vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont3.51-0.93vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90-3.33vs Predicted
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13University of Wisconsin2.85-0.65vs Predicted
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14College of Charleston3.64-4.95vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College3.78-6.31vs Predicted
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16Georgetown University3.33-5.27vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University3.36-6.32vs Predicted
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18Boston University3.03-6.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.38Dartmouth College3.180.0%1st Place
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12.09University of Rhode Island3.050.0%1st Place
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8.6Boston College3.880.1%1st Place
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7.91St. Mary's College of Maryland3.960.1%1st Place
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5.75Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
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12.09Roger Williams University2.980.0%1st Place
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11.77Harvard University3.050.0%1st Place
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7.54Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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6.57Brown University4.300.1%1st Place
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5.39Roger Williams University4.710.1%1st Place
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10.07University of Vermont3.510.0%1st Place
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8.67Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.1%1st Place
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12.35University of Wisconsin2.850.0%1st Place
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9.05College of Charleston3.640.1%1st Place
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8.69Connecticut College3.780.1%1st Place
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10.73Georgetown University3.330.0%1st Place
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10.68Salve Regina University3.360.0%1st Place
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11.66Boston University3.030.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Renehan | 3.3% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 9.9% |
| Caleb Armstrong | 1.9% | 1.7% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 12.1% |
| Alex Cook | 5.3% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.2% |
| Victor Diaz De Leon | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 0.8% |
| Graham Landy | 13.9% | 11.4% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Stewart Draheim | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 13.6% |
| Michael Drumm | 3.6% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 10.2% |
| William Haeger | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| Tommy Fink | 8.5% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Alec Anderson | 13.8% | 10.9% | 12.1% | 9.7% | 11.4% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| OJ O'Connell | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 3.9% |
| Andrew Sommer | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 1.5% |
| Andrew Fox | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 11.3% | 16.7% |
| Mac Mace | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 2.7% |
| Kevin Martland | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 1.8% |
| Daniel Eichler | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.0% |
| Kyle Carney | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 6.7% |
| Ian Towill | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 11.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.