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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University4.71+4.42vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.96+6.21vs Predicted
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3Tufts University4.08+4.69vs Predicted
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4Brown University4.30+2.60vs Predicted
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5Yale University4.55+0.74vs Predicted
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6Boston College3.88+2.31vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University3.36+3.55vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston3.64+1.26vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont3.51+0.85vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College3.18+1.53vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90-2.59vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College3.78-2.89vs Predicted
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13Georgetown University3.33-2.50vs Predicted
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14University of Wisconsin2.85-1.75vs Predicted
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15Harvard University3.05-3.24vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University2.98-3.85vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island3.05-5.01vs Predicted
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18Boston University3.03-6.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.42Roger Williams University4.710.1%1st Place
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8.21St. Mary's College of Maryland3.960.0%1st Place
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7.69Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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6.6Brown University4.300.1%1st Place
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5.74Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
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8.31Boston College3.880.1%1st Place
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10.55Salve Regina University3.360.0%1st Place
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9.26College of Charleston3.640.1%1st Place
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9.85University of Vermont3.510.0%1st Place
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11.53Dartmouth College3.180.0%1st Place
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8.41Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.1%1st Place
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9.11Connecticut College3.780.0%1st Place
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10.5Georgetown University3.330.0%1st Place
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12.25University of Wisconsin2.850.0%1st Place
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11.76Harvard University3.050.0%1st Place
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12.15Roger Williams University2.980.0%1st Place
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11.99University of Rhode Island3.050.0%1st Place
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11.69Boston University3.030.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alec Anderson | 13.0% | 13.4% | 11.1% | 11.5% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Victor Diaz De Leon | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| William Haeger | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| Tommy Fink | 10.2% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| Graham Landy | 13.1% | 12.5% | 11.8% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Alex Cook | 6.5% | 4.1% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 1.4% |
| Kyle Carney | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 5.6% |
| Mac Mace | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 2.9% |
| OJ O'Connell | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 3.2% |
| John Renehan | 3.7% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 9.2% |
| Andrew Sommer | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.0% |
| Kevin Martland | 4.9% | 6.7% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 2.8% |
| Daniel Eichler | 4.0% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.4% |
| Andrew Fox | 2.8% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 11.6% | 15.1% |
| Michael Drumm | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 12.1% |
| Stewart Draheim | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 14.3% |
| Caleb Armstrong | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 11.5% | 12.3% |
| Ian Towill | 3.0% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 10.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.