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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Miami University0.38+2.94vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan0.61+1.54vs Predicted
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3Michigan State University-0.44+2.32vs Predicted
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4Case Western Reserve University0.66-0.51vs Predicted
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5Ohio State University0.65-1.60vs Predicted
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6University of Toledo-0.17-0.88vs Predicted
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7Hope College-1.63+0.40vs Predicted
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8Ohio State University0.09-2.99vs Predicted
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9Ohio University-1.95-1.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.94Miami University0.3815.2%1st Place
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3.54University of Michigan0.6117.9%1st Place
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5.32Michigan State University-0.447.8%1st Place
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3.49Case Western Reserve University0.6617.5%1st Place
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3.4Ohio State University0.6521.6%1st Place
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5.12University of Toledo-0.177.9%1st Place
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7.4Hope College-1.631.8%1st Place
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5.01Ohio State University0.098.5%1st Place
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7.8Ohio University-1.951.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Barillari | 15.2% | 15.4% | 14.0% | 15.1% | 14.2% | 12.6% | 9.7% | 3.1% | 0.7% |
| Will Ayers | 17.9% | 18.2% | 17.5% | 15.4% | 13.2% | 8.9% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 0.4% |
| Ryan Dodge | 7.8% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 12.9% | 14.2% | 20.0% | 13.9% | 4.3% |
| Andrew Liu | 17.5% | 19.2% | 19.2% | 14.1% | 12.2% | 9.2% | 5.6% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| Mason Shaw | 21.6% | 18.8% | 15.5% | 13.9% | 12.7% | 10.0% | 5.5% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Mansvi Soni | 7.9% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 12.1% | 12.8% | 17.5% | 17.3% | 11.5% | 3.2% |
| Kent Colbrunn | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 11.0% | 29.6% | 36.3% |
| Emily Williams | 8.5% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 12.3% | 13.3% | 15.7% | 16.9% | 11.2% | 2.9% |
| Kieran Boetger | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 8.8% | 23.6% | 51.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.